XYF — X Financial Class A

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XYF Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 43, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction43
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About X Financial Class A

X Financial, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online personal finance company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers Xiaoying credit loans, which are online personal credit loan products comprising Xiaoying card loans and other unsecured loan products; and Xiaoying housing loans, a secured home equity loan product. It also provides guarantee, consulting, e-commerce, and microcredit services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.68
Market Cap$188M
Float14.3M
Shares Outstanding22.2M
P/E (TTM)1.28
Price/Sales (TTM)0.02
vs. Analyst Target-63.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.17%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.88%
Revenue (TTM)$7.64B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-81.90%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$1.70

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 -$61.5M -$1.31B -$1.40B -$1.59B
2021 $1.51B $825M $1.37B $1.20B
2022 $2.32B $812M $1.32B $1.23B
2023 $3.28B $1.19B $1.60B $1.47B
2024 $5.87B $1.54B $3.91B $3.71B
2025 $7.43B $1.42B $5.47B $1.72B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.76B $528M
Sep 2025 $1.96B $421M
Dec 2025 $1.45B $56.4M
Mar 2026 $1.17B $37.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.1%
Institutional Ownership6.0%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.30%
Number of Funds Holding25

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.82Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.45Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.50 resistance 2.55x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.63% 1.79% 51.72% 20.65% -16.67%
1 Day -0.46% -2.51% 48.28% 39.10% -26.19%
1 Week -1.51% -3.04% 37.93% 39.79% -34.26%
2 Weeks 1.04% -4.56% 37.93% 64.57% -30.34%
1 Month -2.45% -9.30% 39.29% 91.00% -45.39%

Next earnings: August 17, 2026 (36 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.5%62.5%8
Feb17.6%75.0%8
Mar-6.3%25.0%8
Apr2.3%50.0%8
May2.7%50.0%8
Jun25.5%62.5%8
Jul-11.8%42.9%7
Aug-6.6%28.6%7
Sep-7.8%14.3%7
Oct-2.2%25.0%8
Nov1.1%62.5%8
Dec-9.8%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 47.6% 368
Tuesday 0.58% 44.7% 403
Wednesday -0.12% 39.5% 400
Thursday -0.14% 41.0% 393
Friday -0.20% 45.2% 392

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.1%

Founder-led management: Christopher Payne (Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-180,000
% of Float-1.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wan Zheng -$942,300 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 Wan Zheng -$942,300 Transaction at $5.24, now -10.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for X Financial Class A (XYF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XYF on Trend Edge →