AXP — American Express Company

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXP Bullish with a Setup Score of 18, net conviction 31, actionability 10. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score18
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability10 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About American Express Company

American Express Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated payments company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, Canada, the Caribbean, and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Consumer Services, Commercial Services, International Card Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$337.33
Market Cap$223.63B
Float522.2M
Shares Outstanding675.3M
P/E (Forward)19.49
P/E (TTM)20.62
Price/Sales (TTM)3.15
vs. Analyst Target+11.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.32%
Revenue (TTM)$70.91B
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.00%
Dividend Rate3.8%
Analyst Target Price$375.96 (30 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $38.34B $3.13B $31.51B $5.84B
2021 $44.43B $8.06B $44.57B $12.38B
2022 $55.63B $7.51B $50.68B $11.21B
2023 $67.36B $8.37B $55.59B $12.16B
2024 $74.20B $10.13B $60.76B $14.57B
2025 $80.46B $10.83B $66.97B $15.57B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $20.56B $2.90B
Dec 2025 $21.04B $2.46B
Mar 2026 $20.88B $2.97B
Jun 2026 $21.59B $3.11B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.6%
Institutional Ownership65.1%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding33.91%
Number of Funds Holding2,983

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$341.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$336.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$321.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$252.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$335.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$322.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$269.03Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$314.00 support 1.05x 1 months ago
$296.00 support 1.01x 3 months ago
$350.00 resistance 1.31x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (130 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% -0.05% 42.31% 8.20% -11.05%
1 Day 0.10% -0.20% 48.46% 20.65% -12.10%
1 Week 1.28% 1.50% 60.00% 17.09% -14.59%
2 Weeks 1.91% 1.99% 59.23% 35.43% -13.83%
1 Month 1.92% 2.03% 58.91% 31.83% -29.24%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%62.7%51
Feb0.3%56.9%51
Mar1.8%56.9%51
Apr4.0%66.7%51
May1.5%62.7%51
Jun0.6%54.9%51
Jul1.7%51.0%51
Aug0.5%60.0%50
Sep-1.2%48.0%50
Oct-0.3%52.0%50
Nov3.5%66.0%50
Dec0.2%51.0%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 46.1% 2396
Tuesday 0.10% 48.7% 2599
Wednesday 0.11% 50.5% 2600
Thursday 0.04% 48.9% 2550
Friday 0.06% 49.0% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$86.3M
Net Shares Change-111,402
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings17
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Squeri Stephen J Chairman and CEO -$22.2M 1 1 sell
Marrs Anna Group Pres., GMNS -$7.0M 1 1 sell
Pickett Denise Pres., Enterprise Shared Serv. -$6.1M 1 1 sell
Radhakrishnan Ravikumar Chief Information Officer -$5.3M 1 1 sell
Joabar Raymond Grp. Pres., Global Comm. Serv. -$4.8M 2 1 buy, 2 sell
Herena Monique Chief Colleague Exp. Officer -$3.0M 1 1 sell
Grosfield Howard Group Pres., U.S. Cons. Serv. -$2.8M 1 1 sell
McNeal Glenda G Chief Partner Officer -$2.4M 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-08 3 3 -$31.5M 3 C-suite
2025-10-24 – 2025-11-04 3 3 -$17.4M 3 C-suite
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-20 6 6 -$30.7M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 Herena Monique Chief Colleague Exp. Officer -$3.0M Transaction at $337.41, now -0.0%
2026-03-13 Joabar Raymond Grp. Pres., Global Comm. Serv. -$8,202.65 Transaction at $241.34, now +39.8%
2026-06-17 McNeal Glenda G Chief Partner Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $339.36, now -0.6%
2026-03-10 Lieberman Quinn Jessica EVP - Controller -$909,660.64 Transaction at $300.02, now +12.4%
2025-09-08 Squeri Stephen J Chairman and CEO -$22.2M Transaction at $230.77, now +46.2%
2026-02-10 Radhakrishnan Ravikumar Chief Information Officer -$5.3M Transaction at $356.58, now -5.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for American Express Company (AXP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXP on Trend Edge →