MA — Mastercard Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MA Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mastercard Inc

Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments; payment products and solut… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$526.74
Market Cap$462.29B
Float875.8M
Shares Outstanding877.0M
P/E (Forward)26.53
P/E (TTM)30.12
Price/Sales (TTM)13.62
vs. Analyst Target+22.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin45.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)60.84%
Revenue (TTM)$33.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.20%
Dividend Rate3.5%
Analyst Target Price$643.84 (42 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.30B $6.41B $11.51B $8.72B
2021 $18.88B $8.69B $14.39B $11.46B
2022 $22.24B $9.93B $16.97B $12.95B
2023 $25.10B $11.20B $19.08B $15.01B
2024 $28.17B $12.87B $21.49B $16.80B
2025 $32.79B $14.97B $27.36B $20.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $8.13B $3.70B
Sep 2025 $8.60B $3.93B
Dec 2025 $8.81B $4.06B
Mar 2026 $8.40B $3.88B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership91.5%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding40.78%
Number of Funds Holding3,352

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$501.82Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$527.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$541.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$466.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$526.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$544.94Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$491.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$495.00 support 1.31x 0 months ago
$540.00 resistance 1.27x 4 months ago
$570.00 resistance 1.42x 5 months ago
$441.00 support 1.14x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (81 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% 0.13% 56.79% 10.50% -2.03%
1 Day 0.57% -0.04% 48.15% 18.31% -5.30%
1 Week 1.21% 1.17% 64.20% 10.93% -9.41%
2 Weeks 0.69% 0.96% 59.26% 12.67% -19.42%
1 Month 2.12% 2.87% 65.00% 18.08% -20.37%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%55.0%20
Feb1.8%55.0%20
Mar1.5%60.0%20
Apr4.8%80.0%20
May1.9%50.0%20
Jun-0.0%52.4%21
Jul3.2%85.0%20
Aug1.8%60.0%20
Sep0.8%50.0%20
Oct3.3%70.0%20
Nov5.6%70.0%20
Dec1.6%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 52.2% 949
Tuesday 0.18% 53.9% 1038
Wednesday 0.25% 54.2% 1038
Thursday 0.14% 55.2% 1018
Friday 0.04% 53.3% 1014

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$28.5M
Net Shares Change-9,986
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Financial Officer -$14.9M 3 N/A
Ling Hai President, AP, Europe, MEA -$6.0M 2 N/A
McLaughlin Edward Grunde President & CTO, MA Tech -$5.0M 1 N/A
Seshadri Raj Chief Commercial Pmts Officer -$2.4M 1 N/A
Arkell Sandra A Controller -$216,000 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-08 3 3 -$7.7M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-02 Seshadri Raj Chief Commercial Pmts Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $408.31, now +29.0%
2025-08-06 SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Financial Officer -$3.8M Transaction at $566.46, now -7.0%
2026-07-02 McLaughlin Edward Grunde President & CTO, MA Tech -$5.0M Transaction at $349.34, now +50.8%
2025-08-20 SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Financial Officer -$6.2M Transaction at $412.97, now +27.5%
2026-02-25 Ling Hai President, AP, Europe, MEA -$3.7M Transaction at $294.65, now +78.8%
2025-09-03 SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Financial Officer -$4.9M Transaction at $449.57, now +17.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mastercard Inc (MA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MA on Trend Edge →