MA — Mastercard Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MA Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 33, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Mastercard Inc

Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments; payment products and solut… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$599.37
Market Cap$502.70B
Float868.3M
Shares Outstanding869.5M
P/E (Forward)29.15
P/E (TTM)31.55
Price/Sales (TTM)14.33
vs. Analyst Target+11.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin46.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)61.11%
Revenue (TTM)$35.08B
Earnings Growth (YoY)22.10%
Dividend Rate3.5%
Analyst Target Price$667.30 (42 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.30B $6.41B $11.51B $8.72B
2021 $18.88B $8.69B $14.39B $11.46B
2022 $22.24B $9.93B $16.97B $12.95B
2023 $25.10B $11.20B $19.08B $15.01B
2024 $28.17B $12.87B $21.49B $16.80B
2025 $32.79B $14.97B $25.54B $20.44B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $8.60B $3.93B
Dec 2025 $8.81B $4.06B
Mar 2026 $8.40B $3.88B
Jun 2026 $9.28B $4.39B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership91.4%
Short Float1.0%
% of All Funds Holding40.36%
Number of Funds Holding3,550

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$553.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$529.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$544.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$475.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$536.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$550.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$498.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$495.00 support 1.31x 1 months ago
$441.00 support 1.14x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.15% 0.11% 56.10% 10.50% -2.03%
1 Day 0.55% -0.04% 47.56% 18.31% -5.30%
1 Week 1.17% 1.05% 63.41% 10.93% -9.41%
2 Weeks 0.66% 0.94% 58.54% 12.67% -19.42%
1 Month 2.02% 2.83% 64.20% 18.08% -20.37%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%55.0%20
Feb1.8%55.0%20
Mar1.5%60.0%20
Apr4.8%80.0%20
May1.9%50.0%20
Jun-0.0%52.4%21
Jul3.6%85.7%21
Aug1.8%60.0%20
Sep0.8%50.0%20
Oct3.3%70.0%20
Nov5.6%70.0%20
Dec1.6%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 52.3% 956
Tuesday 0.18% 53.9% 1045
Wednesday 0.24% 54.0% 1045
Thursday 0.15% 55.4% 1025
Friday 0.04% 53.3% 1021

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$50.8M
Net Shares Change-29,220
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Miebach Michael President & CEO -$21.9M 2 N/A
McLaughlin Edward Grunde President & CTO, MA Tech -$11.1M 2 N/A
SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Business Officer -$4.0M 2 N/A
Ling Hai President, AP, Europe, MEA -$3.7M 1 N/A
Seshadri Raj Chief Commercial Pmts Officer -$2.4M 1 N/A
Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia Chief Services Officer -$2.4M 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-15 5 3 -$13.9M 5 C-suite
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-18 5 3 -$26.0M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 Miebach Michael President & CEO -$8.8M Transaction at $575.00, now +4.2%
2026-07-02 Seshadri Raj Chief Commercial Pmts Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $408.31, now +46.8%
2026-08-04 Miebach Michael President & CEO -$13.1M Transaction at $400.55, now +49.6%
2026-08-06 SACHIN J. MEHRA Chief Business Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $571.87, now +4.8%
2026-08-05 Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia Chief Services Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $371.90, now +61.2%
2026-08-18 Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia Chief Services Officer -$673,200.84 Transaction at $565.24, now +6.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mastercard Inc (MA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MA on Trend Edge →