XOMA — XOMA Royalty Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XOMA Bullish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 52, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About XOMA Royalty Corporation

XOMA Royalty Corporation operates as a biotech royalty aggregator in the United States, Switzerland, the Asia Pacific, and Australia. It has a portfolio of economic rights to future potential milestone and royalty payments associated with commercial products and pre-commercial therapeutic candidates. The company also focuses on early to mid-stage clinical assets primarily in Phase 1 and 2 with commercial sales potential that are licensed to spons… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$44.22
Market Cap$792M
Float882K
Shares Outstanding17.7M
P/E (Forward)21.83
P/E (TTM)28.72
Price/Sales (TTM)16.31
vs. Analyst Target-11.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin69.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.90%
Revenue (TTM)$48.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)207.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$39.00 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $29.4M $13.3M $29.2M $13.8M
2021 $38.2M $15.8M $38.0M $16.5M
2022 $6.0M -$17.1M $5.8M -$16.8M
2023 $4.8M -$40.8M $4.6M -$22.6M
2024 $28.5M -$13.8M $28.3M -$5.4M
2025 $52.1M $31.7M $49.2M $47.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.1M $6.9M
Sep 2025 $9.4M $14.1M
Dec 2025 $1.4M $6.1M
Mar 2026 $12.3M $4.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership85.0%
Short Float101.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.90%
Number of Funds Holding74

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$30.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$30.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.40 support 2.00x 2 months ago
$24.60 support 1.33x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.20% 0.00% 43.20% 15.73% -43.03%
1 Day -0.76% 0.00% 46.40% 22.36% -36.07%
1 Week -0.78% -0.87% 45.60% 45.95% -35.81%
2 Weeks -0.43% -1.28% 44.80% 85.37% -40.16%
1 Month 2.89% 0.46% 50.00% 135.91% -50.74%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (31 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.4%57.5%40
Feb-1.1%47.5%40
Mar0.5%40.0%40
Apr-0.2%50.0%40
May5.6%55.0%40
Jun0.4%45.0%40
Jul-0.6%45.0%40
Aug5.3%47.5%40
Sep-1.1%35.0%40
Oct-3.3%40.0%40
Nov2.2%52.5%40
Dec4.3%45.0%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 44.6% 1905
Tuesday 0.19% 43.2% 2072
Wednesday -0.03% 42.4% 2070
Thursday 0.12% 43.3% 2030
Friday 0.19% 44.0% 2018

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$2.3M
Net Shares Change107,516
% of Float12.2%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hughes Owen Chief Executive Officer +$2.5M 1 1 buy
BURNS THOMAS M. SVP, Finance & CFO -$155,820.246 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-08 Hughes Owen Chief Executive Officer +$2.5M Transaction at $25.05, now +76.5%
2025-09-23 BURNS THOMAS M. SVP, Finance & CFO -$155,820.246 Transaction at $35.99, now +22.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for XOMA Royalty Corporation (XOMA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XOMA on Trend Edge →