TNXP — Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp., a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, immunology and immuno-oncology, infectious diseases, and rare diseases in the United States. The company offers TONMYA, a cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet for the treatment of fibromyalgia. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.77
Market Cap$223M
Float15.9M
Shares Outstanding15.9M
Price/Sales (TTM)12.71
vs. Analyst Target+262.2% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-603.91%
Revenue (TTM)$17.6M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$46.25 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.9M -$50.4M -$50.5M -$50.5M
2021 N/A -$92.2M -$92.3M -$92.3M
2022 $9.0M -$115M -$112M -$111M
2023 $7.8M -$117M $3.0M -$114M
2024 $10.1M -$130M $2.3M -$74.3M
2025 $13.1M -$124M $4.5M -$124M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.0M -$28.3M
Sep 2025 $3.3M -$32.0M
Dec 2025 $5.4M -$46.9M
Mar 2026 $6.9M -$40.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership31.0%
Short Float16.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.86%
Number of Funds Holding71

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3703.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1616.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.80 support 2.90x 13 months ago
$52.00 resistance 8.67x 20 months ago
$71.00 resistance 6.21x 21 months ago
$544.00 resistance 7.96x 22 months ago
$1210.00 resistance 2.37x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (56 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.21% 0.00% 30.36% 21.43% -10.34%
1 Day -1.71% -0.22% 33.93% 11.43% -31.37%
1 Week -3.32% -1.22% 42.86% 31.80% -46.88%
2 Weeks -5.21% -4.22% 39.29% 30.38% -53.70%
1 Month -7.65% -9.52% 27.27% 135.80% -78.86%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan17.0%64.3%14
Feb-17.7%14.3%14
Mar4.4%42.9%14
Apr-6.7%21.4%14
May1.1%38.5%13
Jun-6.0%35.7%14
Jul-11.1%28.6%14
Aug-16.2%14.3%14
Sep-24.4%14.3%14
Oct-6.4%35.7%14
Nov-6.6%35.7%14
Dec4.3%42.9%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 39.1% 662
Tuesday -0.47% 37.2% 724
Wednesday -0.47% 36.6% 721
Thursday -0.09% 36.7% 708
Friday -0.11% 38.2% 709

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 31.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

Founder-led management: Seth Lederman (Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+$286,450
Net Shares Change20,668
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LEDERMAN SETH Chief Executive Officer +$286,450 2 2 buy
Taylor Carolyn E. +$15,060.54 1 1 buy
Treco James +$9,000 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-01 LEDERMAN SETH Chief Executive Officer +$63,100 Transaction at $12.62, now +1.2%
2026-03-18 LEDERMAN SETH Chief Executive Officer +$223,350 Transaction at $14.89, now -14.2%
2025-08-21 Taylor Carolyn E. +$15,060.54 Transaction at $36.03, now -64.6%
2025-08-20 Treco James +$9,000 Transaction at $36.00, now -64.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp (TNXP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TNXP on Trend Edge →