OCGN — Ocugen Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ocugen Inc

Ocugen, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel gene and cell therapies, biologic, and vaccines that improve patients' health. The company's pipeline product includes OCU400, a novel gene therapy product candidate restoring retinal integrity and function across a range of genetically diverse inherited retinal diseases, currently under Phase 3 trials for the treatment of retinitis pigmentosa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.39
Market Cap$494M
Float316.7M
Shares Outstanding338.5M
P/E (Forward)13.07
Price/Sales (TTM)110.69
vs. Analyst Target+732.5% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1163.67%
Revenue (TTM)$4.5M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.57 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $43,000 -$21.8M -$6.3M -$14.2M
2021 $22,920 -$58.4M -$589,000 -$57.8M
2022 $2.5M -$77.8M -$1.1M -$84.4M
2023 $6.0M -$63.1M $5.3M -$64.8M
2024 $4.1M -$54.1M $2.1M -$52.8M
2025 $4.4M -$67.8M $2.0M -$60.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.4M -$14.7M
Sep 2025 $1.8M -$20.1M
Dec 2025 -$193,000 -$17.7M
Mar 2026 $1.5M -$19.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership24.2%
Short Float22.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.53%
Number of Funds Holding126

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.51Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.03Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.10 support 1.24x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.01% -0.94% 34.04% 7.63% -16.13%
1 Day -1.64% -3.77% 42.55% 25.87% -16.96%
1 Week -3.97% -4.92% 29.79% 60.61% -57.97%
2 Weeks -2.48% -3.31% 30.43% 91.00% -48.12%
1 Month -4.57% -7.11% 32.61% 80.46% -71.26%

Next earnings: May 8, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.0%33.3%12
Feb45.0%41.7%12
Mar-2.4%33.3%12
Apr5.8%41.7%12
May-4.5%45.5%11
Jun-2.8%36.4%11
Jul12.5%54.5%11
Aug6.1%36.4%11
Sep-18.7%27.3%11
Oct0.8%36.4%11
Nov-19.8%27.3%11
Dec38.0%54.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.45% 41.1% 538
Tuesday 0.33% 42.1% 592
Wednesday 0.01% 43.0% 589
Thursday 0.02% 43.6% 578
Friday 0.10% 44.7% 577

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 24.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

Founder-led management: Shankar Musunuri (Co-Founder, CEO & Chairman)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ocugen Inc (OCGN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OCGN on Trend Edge →