XFOR — X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XFOR Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 37, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc

X4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics for the treatment of rare diseases of the immune system. It offers XOLREMDI, an orally small-molecule selective antagonist of chemokine receptor CXCR4, which is in phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of patients with warts, hypogammaglobulinemia, infections, and myelokathexis syndrome. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.04
Market Cap$400M
Float62.8M
Shares Outstanding99.1M
P/E (TTM)2.90
Price/Sales (TTM)25.21
vs. Analyst Target+187.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-186.13%
Revenue (TTM)$15.8M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.60 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.0M -$62.1M $3.0M -$59.5M
2021 N/A -$88.7M -$1.9M -$83.1M
2022 N/A -$93.9M -$2.0M -$89.3M
2023 N/A -$101M -$2.0M -$94.9M
2024 $2.6M -$37.5M $1.8M -$27.6M
2025 $35.1M -$79.2M $28.9M -$69.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.8M -$29.8M
Dec 2025 $2.6M -$23.9M
Mar 2026 $2.7M -$20.2M
Jun 2026 $8.8M -$16.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership100.1%
Short Float11.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.00%
Number of Funds Holding88

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.35Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.71Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.60 support 7.62x 11 months ago
$6.90 resistance 1.10x 15 months ago
$30.00 resistance 1.11x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (36 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.53% 0.53% 63.89% 10.11% -11.70%
1 Day 2.73% -0.04% 50.00% 48.01% -7.99%
1 Week 6.55% 3.06% 63.89% 67.11% -11.97%
2 Weeks 13.86% 0.83% 50.00% 200.73% -22.13%
1 Month 12.45% -0.22% 48.57% 172.99% -45.50%

Next earnings: August 14, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.1%33.3%9
Feb0.8%55.6%9
Mar8.5%55.6%9
Apr-2.5%22.2%9
May-3.0%33.3%9
Jun-23.0%22.2%9
Jul-5.2%22.2%9
Aug7.5%37.5%8
Sep-0.2%25.0%8
Oct-8.4%25.0%8
Nov16.1%25.0%8
Dec-5.0%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.72% 42.5% 412
Tuesday 0.77% 40.6% 453
Wednesday -0.28% 46.8% 449
Thursday 0.12% 46.7% 441
Friday 0.12% 45.4% 441

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$179,308.498
Net Shares Change-11,310
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KIRSKE DAVID Chief Financial Officer -$109,248.564 2 2 sell
Volpone John President -$109,228.032 1 1 sell
Craig Adam R Executive Chairman +$39,168.098 2 1 buy, 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-13 Craig Adam R Executive Chairman -$210,829.302 Transaction at $4.44, now -9.1%
2026-08-13 Volpone John President -$109,228.032 Transaction at $4.44, now -9.1%
2026-07-01 KIRSKE DAVID Chief Financial Officer -$36,428.206 Transaction at $4.26, now -5.3%
2025-10-27 Craig Adam R Executive Chairman +$249,997.4 Transaction at $2.90, now +39.3%
2026-05-13 KIRSKE DAVID Chief Financial Officer -$72,820.357 Transaction at $4.29, now -5.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc (XFOR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XFOR on Trend Edge →