WM — Waste Management Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Waste Management Inc

Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, recovery facility, or disposal site; owns and operates transfer stations; and owns, d… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$215.48
Market Cap$87.44B
Float400.4M
Shares Outstanding401.6M
P/E (Forward)26.39
P/E (TTM)31.56
Price/Sales (TTM)3.44
vs. Analyst Target+18.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.52%
Revenue (TTM)$25.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)13.30%
Dividend Rate3.5%
Analyst Target Price$256.04 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.22B $1.50B $4.21B $4.09B
2021 $17.93B $1.82B $4.82B $4.82B
2022 $19.70B $2.24B $5.37B $5.45B
2023 $20.43B $2.30B $5.75B $5.72B
2024 $22.06B $2.75B $6.41B $6.46B
2025 $25.20B $2.71B $7.33B $7.20B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.43B $726M
Sep 2025 $6.44B $603M
Dec 2025 $6.31B $742M
Mar 2026 $6.23B $723M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership86.4%
Short Float1.7%
% of All Funds Holding26.68%
Number of Funds Holding2,193

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$224.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$222.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$223.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$197.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$222.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$224.41Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$203.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$241.00 resistance 1.22x 1 months ago
$199.00 support 1.17x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.07% 52.07% 11.25% -6.92%
1 Day 0.18% 0.20% 54.55% 26.25% -12.32%
1 Week 0.59% 0.47% 57.02% 22.50% -9.77%
2 Weeks 1.06% 1.09% 57.85% 29.58% -12.05%
1 Month 1.85% 2.10% 63.33% 22.50% -17.52%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%52.6%38
Feb-0.7%52.6%38
Mar4.5%57.9%38
Apr1.4%55.3%38
May2.6%64.9%37
Jun4.2%54.1%37
Jul0.8%52.6%38
Aug-1.2%47.4%38
Sep-0.5%34.2%38
Oct0.9%50.0%38
Nov1.8%57.9%38
Dec1.4%65.8%38

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 46.6% 1798
Tuesday 0.04% 47.3% 1959
Wednesday 0.05% 46.3% 1957
Thursday 0.06% 46.5% 1922
Friday 0.12% 47.6% 1914

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings34
Net Value-$30.4M
Net Shares Change-2,050
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings33
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rankin Devina A EVP and CFO -$3.3M 1 1 sell
Watson Michael J. Sr. VP-Chief Customer Officer -$2.6M 1 N/A
Smith Donald J Sr. VP - Operations -$2.3M 1 N/A
Carrasco Rafael SVP of Enterprise Strategy -$2.0M 2 2 sell
Morris John J President and COO -$2.0M 1 N/A
Hemmer Tara J. SVP and Chief Sustainability Off -$1.2M 1 N/A
MENKE SEAN E +$392,840.2 1 1 buy
Carroll John A. VP and Chief Accounting Officer -$239,634.009 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-16 14 12 -$17.9M 14 C-suite
2026-02-17 – 2026-03-03 8 7 -$6.2M 8 C-suite
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-10 6 5 -$2.4M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-03 Varkey Johnson SVP-Chief Information Officer -$150,628.21 Transaction at $244.13, now -11.7%
2026-02-16 Carrasco Rafael SVP of Enterprise Strategy -$1.7M Transaction at $234.50, now -8.1%
2025-11-04 MENKE SEAN E +$392,840.2 Transaction at $196.42, now +9.7%
2026-02-11 Carroll John A. VP and Chief Accounting Officer -$239,634.009 Transaction at $234.71, now -8.2%
2025-05-28 Rankin Devina A EVP and CFO -$3.3M Transaction at $184.61, now +16.7%
2025-11-20 Carrasco Rafael SVP of Enterprise Strategy -$299,542.8 Transaction at $217.06, now -0.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Waste Management Inc (WM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WM on Trend Edge →