RSG — Republic Services Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RSG Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 27, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Republic Services Inc

Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions. Its residential collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to transfer stations, l… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$223.08
Market Cap$67.21B
Float305.6M
Shares Outstanding306.2M
P/E (Forward)29.85
P/E (TTM)31.36
Price/Sales (TTM)4.01
vs. Analyst Target+10.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.43%
Revenue (TTM)$16.89B
Earnings Growth (YoY)5.10%
Dividend Rate2.7%
Analyst Target Price$245.92 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $10.15B $967M $4.05B $2.65B
2021 $11.29B $1.29B $3.29B $3.15B
2022 $13.51B $1.49B $3.87B $3.66B
2023 $14.96B $1.73B $4.42B $4.32B
2024 $16.03B $2.04B $4.90B $4.77B
2025 $16.59B $2.14B $6.96B $5.10B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $4.21B $550M
Dec 2025 $4.13B $544M
Mar 2026 $4.11B $525M
Jun 2026 $4.43B $566M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float1.3%
% of All Funds Holding14.73%
Number of Funds Holding1,296

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$217.57Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$215.05Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$225.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$191.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$214.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$225.08Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$201.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$202.00 support 1.15x 1 months ago
$246.00 resistance 1.31x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.34% 0.30% 58.93% 10.00% -8.99%
1 Day 0.47% 0.81% 56.25% 11.03% -13.26%
1 Week 1.16% 1.29% 59.82% 36.77% -19.10%
2 Weeks 1.48% 1.52% 63.39% 28.57% -16.15%
1 Month 1.80% 2.19% 66.67% 30.05% -47.34%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%50.0%28
Feb0.4%57.1%28
Mar1.6%71.4%28
Apr4.8%82.1%28
May2.7%67.9%28
Jun0.7%60.7%28
Jul1.7%57.1%28
Aug-2.8%46.4%28
Sep-1.3%35.7%28
Oct1.3%67.9%28
Nov2.7%78.6%28
Dec1.8%64.3%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 52.0% 1329
Tuesday -0.03% 48.7% 1453
Wednesday 0.03% 52.6% 1453
Thursday 0.13% 53.4% 1426
Friday 0.13% 53.5% 1417

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$1.8M
Net Shares Change2,978,366
% of Float1.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$637M 7 7 buy
Volpe Sandra M -$380,304 1 1 sell
Weymouth Katharine +$100,121.88 1 1 buy
Carlsen Elyse CAO -$77,876.856 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-24 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$88.2M Transaction at $220.30, now +1.3%
2026-08-20 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$83.4M Transaction at $220.08, now +1.4%
2026-08-18 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$76.6M Transaction at $215.26, now +3.6%
2026-08-14 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$78.3M Transaction at $215.81, now +3.4%
2026-08-12 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$108M Transaction at $215.57, now +3.5%
2026-05-18 CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. +$102M Transaction at $208.69, now +6.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Republic Services Inc (RSG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RSG on Trend Edge →