AQMS — Aqua Metals Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aqua Metals Inc

Aqua Metals, Inc. develops recycling and refining technologies for the recovery of critical minerals and metals in the United States. It engages in the development of AquaRefining process, an electro-hydrometallurgical method designed to recover high-purity materials from battery and other metal-bearing feedstocks using a closed-loop system. The company serves Metals and Lithium Battery markets. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.04
Market Cap$13.5M
Float3.0M
Shares Outstanding3.4M
P/E (Forward)67.57
Price/Sales (TTM)865.53
vs. Analyst Target+197.0% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $108,000 -$25.8M -$5.4M -$21.7M
2021 $173,000 -$18.2M -$6.8M -$16.9M
2022 $4,000 -$15.4M -$4.0M -$14.2M
2023 $25,000 -$23.9M -$6.3M -$22.0M
2024 N/A -$24.6M -$7.2M -$22.7M
2025 N/A -$22.6M -$2.4M -$20.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$6.8M
Sep 2025 N/A -$3.1M
Dec 2025 -$1.4M -$4.4M
Mar 2026 N/A -$4.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.8%
Institutional Ownership6.8%
Short Float8.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.38%
Number of Funds Holding31

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.26Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.57Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$96.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$81.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.90 support 7.42x 7 months ago
$8.30 resistance 3.10x 10 months ago
$13.30 resistance 1.57x 11 months ago
$26.00 resistance 1.04x 15 months ago
$65.00 resistance 1.72x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (43 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.99% -1.11% 32.56% 5.38% -32.89%
1 Day -4.32% -2.11% 34.88% 21.20% -36.58%
1 Week -5.10% -5.79% 25.58% 29.25% -37.60%
2 Weeks -2.55% -4.63% 32.56% 47.70% -36.04%
1 Month -4.16% -4.42% 37.21% 75.00% -68.83%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%27.3%11
Feb8.6%63.6%11
Mar1.9%54.5%11
Apr-3.3%45.5%11
May-3.5%30.0%10
Jun0.7%50.0%10
Jul-6.3%40.0%10
Aug-8.8%45.5%11
Sep-0.2%36.4%11
Oct-7.8%27.3%11
Nov1.2%36.4%11
Dec3.9%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 42.5% 508
Tuesday 0.35% 41.7% 561
Wednesday -0.49% 43.8% 557
Thursday -0.13% 39.7% 547
Friday 0.37% 48.2% 546

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-2,113
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Taecker Benjamin S. Chief Eng and Opr Officer +N/A 1 1 sell
Cotton Stephen Chief Executive Officer +N/A 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-09 Taecker Benjamin S. Chief Eng and Opr Officer +N/A N/A
2026-01-09 Cotton Stephen Chief Executive Officer +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aqua Metals Inc (AQMS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AQMS on Trend Edge →