GFL — Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$34.28
Market Cap$13.24B
Float273.7M
Shares Outstanding349.2M
P/E (Forward)45.45
P/E (TTM)99.11
Price/Sales (TTM)1.98
vs. Analyst Target+48.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.22%
Revenue (TTM)$6.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)22.20%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$50.89 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.20B -$1.10B $190M $254M
2021 $5.14B -$607M $474M $981M
2022 $6.76B -$312M $798M $1.59B
2023 $7.52B $45.4M $1.27B $2.21B
2024 $6.14B -$723M $1.13B $1.01B
2025 $4.82B $214M $977M $1.30B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.68B $276M
Sep 2025 $1.69B $114M
Dec 2025 $1.23B $63.4M
Mar 2026 $1.18B -$155M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.0%
Institutional Ownership97.4%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.74%
Number of Funds Holding307

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$38.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$43.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$45.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$38.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$43.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$45.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$39.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$40.00 resistance 1.11x 0 months ago
$32.80 support 1.39x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (26 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.85% 0.42% 65.38% 5.91% -2.48%
1 Day 0.27% -0.23% 42.31% 6.71% -6.17%
1 Week 0.14% -0.74% 46.15% 15.17% -12.28%
2 Weeks 2.49% 3.57% 69.23% 24.17% -12.62%
1 Month 2.25% 3.53% 60.00% 38.53% -13.58%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 49.7% 292
Tuesday 0.02% 48.8% 324
Wednesday 0.22% 53.1% 322
Thursday 0.21% 49.4% 314
Friday 0.03% 48.9% 313

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.0%

Founder-led management: Patrick Dovigi (Founder, Chairman, President & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GFL on Trend Edge →