VRDN — Viridian Therapeutics Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Viridian Therapeutics Inc

Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. engages in discovering, developing, and commercializing treatments for serious and rare diseases. It develops IGF-1R therapies to treat thyroid eye disease (TED), including Veligrotrug, a differentiated humanized monoclonal antibody targeting IGF-1R intravenously administered, and Elegrobart, a low-volume, infrequently dosed subcutaneous IGF-1R. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.86
Market Cap$1.75B
Float103.0M
Shares Outstanding103.1M
P/E (Forward)1.01
Price/Sales (TTM)24.71
vs. Analyst Target+102.4% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-82389.36%
Revenue (TTM)$70.9M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$34.13 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.1M -$111M -$27.3M -$40.3M
2021 $3.0M -$79.4M $3.0M -$79.3M
2022 $1.8M -$130M $1.8M -$129M
2023 $314,000 -$238M $314,000 -$235M
2024 $302,000 -$270M $302,000 -$266M
2025 $70.8M -$343M $70.8M -$337M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $75,000 -$101M
Sep 2025 $70.6M -$34.6M
Dec 2025 $132,000 -$120M
Mar 2026 $141,000 -$105M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership106.5%
Short Float10.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.56%
Number of Funds Holding198

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$20.64Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.89Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$20.43Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$19.70 resistance 1.93x 0 months ago
$13.50 support 1.37x 0 months ago
$28.70 resistance 1.68x 1 months ago
$13.00 support 1.13x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.06% -0.72% 43.75% 35.85% -19.93%
1 Day 0.10% -0.52% 43.75% 49.36% -17.20%
1 Week -1.48% -3.12% 40.43% 61.44% -47.07%
2 Weeks -0.94% -2.27% 40.43% 63.34% -23.44%
1 Month -0.50% -4.95% 34.04% 89.09% -49.91%

Next earnings: May 5, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan26.9%66.7%12
Feb-8.3%16.7%12
Mar-10.1%25.0%12
Apr0.0%58.3%12
May-1.9%27.3%11
Jun0.6%54.5%11
Jul1.0%50.0%12
Aug-8.3%16.7%12
Sep-1.2%41.7%12
Oct-4.1%25.0%12
Nov15.7%58.3%12
Dec-7.0%33.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 47.2% 561
Tuesday 0.32% 41.1% 616
Wednesday 0.19% 45.5% 613
Thursday -0.33% 40.8% 601
Friday 0.20% 47.0% 600

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$70,795.52
Net Shares Change452,273
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fairmount Funds Management LLC +$10.0M 1 1 buy
Tousignant Jennifer Chief Legal Officer -$70,795.52 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-27 Fairmount Funds Management LLC +$10.0M Transaction at $22.00, now -23.4%
2026-01-02 Tousignant Jennifer Chief Legal Officer -$70,795.52 Transaction at $31.16, now -45.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Viridian Therapeutics Inc (VRDN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VRDN on Trend Edge →