VRAX — Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VRAX Bearish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 27, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares

Virax Biolabs Group Limited, a biotechnology company, focuses on immune response detection, T cell immune profiling, and the development of in vitro diagnostic technologies for viral and immune-mediated diseases in the United Kingdom, the United States, and China. The company offers ViraxImmune, a T cell-based immune profiling and diagnostic platform for post-acute infection syndromes, including long COVID, myalgic encephalomyelitis / chronic fat… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.60
Market Cap$2.3M
Float529K
Shares Outstanding797K
Price/Sales (TTM)188.61
vs. Analyst Target+861.5% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-35264.92%
Revenue (TTM)$12,423
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$25.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $123,820 -$650,984 -$9,434 -$644,272
2022 N/A -$1.7M N/A -$750
2023 $8,561 -$5.5M -$1,365 -$5.4M
2024 $156,419 -$6.7M $50,590 -$6.6M
2025 $6,331 -$6.1M -$53,067 -$5.8M
2026 $12,423 -$5.0M $7,690 -$6.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2024 $4,953 -$2.8M
Jun 2025 $1,378 -$3.3M
Sep 2025 $1,608 -$2.3M
Jun 2026 $10,815 -$2.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.6%
Institutional Ownership3.3%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding0.02%
Number of Funds Holding2

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.14Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$57.35Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.60Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.80 resistance 4.75x 4 months ago
$20.20 resistance 3.79x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 29.43% 2.78% 75.00% 113.23% -1.06%
1 Day 8.48% 1.01% 50.00% 75.06% -43.19%
1 Week -9.12% 4.72% 75.00% 24.43% -70.33%
2 Weeks -7.54% -0.99% 50.00% 11.74% -39.89%
1 Month -21.63% -9.08% 25.00% 7.12% -75.49%

Next earnings: October 1, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.78% 33.5% 194
Tuesday -0.53% 41.8% 213
Wednesday 1.03% 47.9% 211
Thursday -0.28% 35.6% 205
Friday -1.47% 42.3% 208

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 3.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.6%

Founder-led management: James Foster (Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Principal Accounting Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares (VRAX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VRAX on Trend Edge →