VLRS — Volaris

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Volaris

Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiary, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 550 daily flights on routes connecting 44 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, 4 cities in Central America, and 2 cities in South America. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.28
Market Cap$799M
Float891.3M
Shares Outstanding114.9M
P/E (Forward)36.36
Price/Sales (TTM)0.26
vs. Analyst Target+23.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.73%
Revenue (TTM)$3.13B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-91.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.96 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $54.1M -$9.6M -$1.3M $7.2M
2021 $2.20B $106M $549M $601M
2022 $2.85B -$80.2M $245M $477M
2023 $3.26B $7.8M $505M $721M
2024 $3.14B $126M $515M $1.07B
2025 $3.04B -$104M $174M $850M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $693M -$63.0M
Sep 2025 $784M $6.0M
Dec 2025 $882M $4.0M
Mar 2026 $770M -$71.0M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership36.4%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.05%
Number of Funds Holding86

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.30 resistance 1.54x 1 months ago
$4.80 support 1.03x 9 months ago
$3.70 support 1.69x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.31% 0.07% 50.98% 6.98% -3.33%
1 Day -1.28% -0.84% 45.10% 10.58% -17.97%
1 Week -2.00% -1.75% 37.25% 23.64% -33.77%
2 Weeks -2.13% -1.93% 43.14% 35.03% -43.98%
1 Month -1.32% -0.23% 46.00% 54.21% -70.41%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.0%53.8%13
Feb-0.6%53.8%13
Mar-6.7%38.5%13
Apr-0.5%46.2%13
May3.3%50.0%12
Jun-1.3%66.7%12
Jul6.0%50.0%12
Aug-1.0%25.0%12
Sep-0.8%50.0%12
Oct-0.5%46.2%13
Nov4.7%61.5%13
Dec2.9%46.2%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.25% 48.0% 598
Tuesday 0.18% 49.9% 657
Wednesday 0.30% 52.3% 652
Thursday -0.13% 46.6% 641
Friday 0.02% 46.4% 640

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 36.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-50,000
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Donovan William Dean -$366,500 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Donovan William Dean -$366,500 Transaction at $7.33, now -0.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Volaris (VLRS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VLRS on Trend Edge →