UAL — United Airlines Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UAL Bullish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 29, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About United Airlines Holdings Inc

United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in the United States, Canada, Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America. It transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. The company also offers ground handling, flight academy, frequent flyer award non-travel redemptions, and maintenance services for third parties. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$117.41
Market Cap$36.26B
Float322.0M
Shares Outstanding324.6M
P/E (Forward)11.30
P/E (TTM)10.85
Price/Sales (TTM)0.58
vs. Analyst Target+37.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.53%
Revenue (TTM)$62.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-17.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$161.85 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $15.36B -$7.07B -$5.03B -$5.34B
2021 $24.63B -$1.96B $721M $1.50B
2022 $44.95B $737M $10.64B $5.12B
2023 $53.72B $2.62B $15.20B $7.83B
2024 $57.06B $3.15B $19.42B $8.50B
2025 $59.07B $3.35B $37.88B $7.54B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $15.22B $949M
Dec 2025 $15.40B $1.04B
Mar 2026 $14.61B $699M
Jun 2026 $17.67B $805M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership90.9%
Short Float7.3%
% of All Funds Holding12.06%
Number of Funds Holding1,061

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$123.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$108.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$97.78Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$71.36Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$109.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$98.72Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$76.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$80.00 support 1.07x 12 months ago
$70.00 support 1.02x 14 months ago
$57.00 support 1.16x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.00% 0.29% 58.54% 12.37% -6.86%
1 Day 1.05% 0.16% 50.00% 17.45% -12.41%
1 Week 0.35% -0.04% 50.00% 26.92% -21.87%
2 Weeks 1.80% 0.73% 52.44% 59.14% -21.36%
1 Month 1.07% -0.24% 48.15% 61.29% -44.50%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%55.0%20
Feb0.1%50.0%20
Mar-4.0%47.6%21
Apr-3.1%33.3%21
May0.9%57.1%21
Jun-3.4%42.9%21
Jul4.1%57.1%21
Aug4.0%50.0%20
Sep3.0%55.0%20
Oct8.9%55.0%20
Nov6.5%70.0%20
Dec3.4%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 49.9% 970
Tuesday 0.26% 50.4% 1061
Wednesday 0.14% 53.1% 1061
Thursday 0.05% 47.7% 1041
Friday 0.12% 49.6% 1035

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$48.6M
Net Shares Change-277,576
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KIRBY J SCOTT Chief Executive Officer -$9.5M 1 1 sell
Hart Brett J President -$8.5M 2 2 sell
Gebo Kate EVP HR and Labor Relations -$4.2M 1 2 sell
Enqvist Torbjorn J EVP & Chief Operations Officer -$3.6M 1 1 sell
Nocella Andrew P EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$2.7M 3 3 sell
Leskinen Michael D. EVP & Chief Financial Officer -$1.3M 1 N/A
Whitehurst James M -$120,813.3 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-21 – 2026-07-28 4 4 -$21.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-28 Gebo Kate EVP HR and Labor Relations -$4.2M Transaction at $105.46, now +11.3%
2026-07-28 Hart Brett J President -$6.5M Transaction at $105.87, now +10.9%
2026-07-28 Nocella Andrew P EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $119.38, now -1.6%
2026-07-28 Enqvist Torbjorn J EVP & Chief Operations Officer -$3.6M Transaction at $119.09, now -1.4%
2026-08-05 Nocella Andrew P EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$396,900 Transaction at $132.30, now -11.3%
2026-07-21 KIRBY J SCOTT Chief Executive Officer -$9.5M Transaction at $88.37, now +32.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UAL on Trend Edge →