SRFM — Surf Air Mobility Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SRFM Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 24, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Surf Air Mobility Inc.

Surf Air Mobility Inc. engages in the air mobility business in the United States and internationally. Its air mobility platform provides scheduled commercial air service flights; and on-demand flights created for customers on an ad-hoc, by request basis. Surf Air Mobility Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Hawthorne, California. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.67
Market Cap$87.5M
Float100.7M
Shares Outstanding123.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.79
vs. Analyst Target+635.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-101.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)-63.70%
Revenue (TTM)$111M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.93 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.5M -$23.4M -$3.5M -$19.0M
2021 $11.8M -$35.8M -$3.7M -$32.6M
2022 $20.3M -$74.4M -$5.6M -$72.7M
2023 $60.5M -$251M -$5.2M -$247M
2024 $119M -$74.9M $9.5M -$58.2M
2025 $107M -$111M $4.2M -$88.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $29.2M -$27.2M
Dec 2025 $26.4M -$36.9M
Mar 2026 $25.6M -$20.3M
Jun 2026 $29.5M -$28.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership17.5%
Institutional Ownership15.7%
Short Float12.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.73%
Number of Funds Holding64

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.10 resistance 1.04x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.32% 53.85% 10.74% -18.88%
1 Day -6.56% -7.41% 23.08% 16.47% -22.34%
1 Week -13.22% -17.78% 15.38% 55.81% -41.13%
2 Weeks -10.04% -30.35% 25.00% 140.70% -46.72%
1 Month -14.32% -29.69% 16.67% 68.60% -51.46%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.80% 39.5% 147
Tuesday -0.20% 38.8% 160
Wednesday 0.04% 42.7% 157
Thursday 0.32% 43.4% 152
Friday 0.35% 49.7% 155

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 15.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 17.5%

Founder-led management: Liam Fayed (Chief Brand & Experience Officer), Sudhin Shahani (Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$249,305.467
Net Shares Change311,494
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Reeves Oliver Chief Financial Officer -$138,337.301 2 2 sell
White Deanna Leigh Chief Executive Officer -$110,968.166 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 White Deanna Leigh Chief Executive Officer -$74,779.706 Transaction at $1.31, now -49.0%
2026-05-08 Reeves Oliver Chief Financial Officer -$100,642.294 Transaction at $1.31, now -49.0%
2026-04-17 Reeves Oliver Chief Financial Officer -$37,695.007 Transaction at $1.31, now -48.7%
2026-04-17 White Deanna Leigh Chief Executive Officer -$36,188.46 Transaction at $1.31, now -48.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SRFM on Trend Edge →