URBN — Urban Outfitters Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates URBN Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 48, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction48
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Urban Outfitters Inc

Urban Outfitters, Inc. offers lifestyle products and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription. It operates Urban Outfitters stores, which offer women's and men's fashion apparel, activewear, intimates, footwear, accessories, home goods, electronics, and beauty products for young adults aged 18 to 28; and Anthropologie stores that provide women's apparel, ac… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$82.18
Market Cap$6.94B
Float56.1M
Shares Outstanding85.7M
P/E (Forward)11.93
P/E (TTM)12.67
Price/Sales (TTM)1.07
vs. Analyst Target+8.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.62%
Revenue (TTM)$6.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)75.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$89.43 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $3.45B $1.2M $862M $111M
2022 $4.55B $311M $1.49B $511M
2023 $4.80B $160M $1.43B $325M
2024 $5.15B $288M $1.73B $492M
2025 $5.55B $402M $1.93B $622M
2026 $6.17B $465M $2.22B $725M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $1.53B $116M
Jan 2026 $1.80B $96.3M
Apr 2026 $1.48B $116M
Jul 2026 $1.66B $241M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership33.8%
Institutional Ownership74.5%
Short Float12.4%
% of All Funds Holding4.73%
Number of Funds Holding416

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$78.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$72.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$70.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$50.95Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$72.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$70.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$55.75Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 support 1.34x 16 months ago
$49.00 support 1.10x 21 months ago
$36.20 support 1.07x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.00% 45.90% 23.90% -14.76%
1 Day 0.93% 0.25% 50.82% 22.84% -15.21%
1 Week 0.74% 0.58% 55.74% 26.21% -31.52%
2 Weeks 1.48% 0.34% 51.64% 34.37% -34.59%
1 Month 1.87% 0.75% 52.07% 36.72% -44.79%

Next earnings: November 24, 2026 (43 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.5%42.4%33
Feb1.5%51.5%33
Mar1.8%51.5%33
Apr3.6%48.5%33
May2.6%51.5%33
Jun-0.2%48.5%33
Jul2.2%66.7%33
Aug4.7%57.6%33
Sep-0.2%48.5%33
Oct0.2%43.8%32
Nov6.5%65.6%32
Dec0.8%51.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 47.6% 1557
Tuesday 0.17% 48.1% 1700
Wednesday 0.07% 49.1% 1699
Thursday 0.06% 48.6% 1666
Friday 0.15% 49.3% 1658

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 74.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 33.8%

Founder-led management: Richard Hayne (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings66
Net Value-$123M
Net Shares Change-1,660,997
% of Float-3.0%
C-Suite Filings65
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HAYNE RICHARD A CEO & Chairman of the Board -$1.7M 1 N/A
Hayne Margaret Co-President & CCO -$1.3M 1 N/A
Hayne Azeez Chief Administrative Officer -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Marein-Efron Melanie Chief Financial Officer -$830,018.12 2 2 sell
Conforti Frank Co-President & COO -$687,289.726 1 1 sell
Smith Tricia D Global CEO Anthropologie Group -$589,903.5 2 2 sell
Egan Mary -$51,012 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-19 – 2026-03-03 5 3 -$7.0M 5 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-05-26 3 3 -$1.7M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-21 Smith Tricia D Global CEO Anthropologie Group -$265,828.5 Transaction at $75.95, now +8.2%
2026-09-08 Marein-Efron Melanie Chief Financial Officer -$460,275 Transaction at $80.75, now +1.8%
2026-09-03 Egan Mary -$51,012 Transaction at $78.48, now +4.7%
2026-05-26 Marein-Efron Melanie Chief Financial Officer -$369,743.12 Transaction at $73.42, now +11.9%
2026-05-26 Conforti Frank Co-President & COO -$687,289.726 Transaction at $73.19, now +12.3%
2026-05-26 Hayne Azeez Chief Administrative Officer -$639,098.406 Transaction at $73.18, now +12.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for URBN on Trend Edge →