TXRH — Texas Roadhouse Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Texas Roadhouse Inc

Texas Roadhouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Others segments. The company's restaurants offer seasoned and aged steaks, ribs, seafood, chicken, pork chops, pulled pork, and vegetable plates, as well as an assortment of hamburgers, salads, and sandwiches; and pizza, wings, and various appetizers and dinner ent… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$181.49
Market Cap$11.70B
Float61.7M
Shares Outstanding65.7M
P/E (Forward)27.55
P/E (TTM)28.40
Price/Sales (TTM)1.93
vs. Analyst Target+8.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.96%
Revenue (TTM)$6.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)10.00%
Dividend Rate3.0%
Analyst Target Price$196.04 (28 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.40B $31.3M $284M $141M
2021 $3.46B $245M $607M $425M
2022 $4.01B $270M $654M $459M
2023 $4.63B $305M $735M $507M
2024 $5.37B $434M $947M $696M
2025 $5.88B $406M $730M $687M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.51B $124M
Sep 2025 $1.44B $83.2M
Dec 2025 $1.48B $84.6M
Mar 2026 $1.63B $123M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership104.2%
Short Float5.6%
% of All Funds Holding7.12%
Number of Funds Holding585

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$168.44Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$172.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$176.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$145.60Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$171.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$177.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$154.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$161.00 support 1.11x 0 months ago
$184.00 resistance 1.15x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (87 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.98% 0.51% 60.92% 17.24% -11.76%
1 Day 0.76% -0.06% 47.13% 20.21% -12.37%
1 Week 0.67% 0.16% 52.87% 18.44% -15.27%
2 Weeks 0.46% -0.28% 45.98% 14.87% -18.78%
1 Month 1.43% 0.66% 52.33% 32.10% -30.88%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%63.6%22
Feb3.8%72.7%22
Mar0.2%59.1%22
Apr2.6%54.5%22
May2.0%57.1%21
Jun-0.4%57.1%21
Jul-0.1%47.6%21
Aug-1.1%42.9%21
Sep-1.0%52.4%21
Oct2.4%66.7%21
Nov3.2%72.7%22
Dec2.5%63.6%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 49.4% 1019
Tuesday 0.14% 49.1% 1118
Wednesday 0.00% 48.5% 1118
Thursday 0.09% 52.2% 1096
Friday 0.11% 50.3% 1092

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$4.6M
Net Shares Change-40,959
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mujica Hernan E. CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Tobin Regina A. PRESIDENT -$760,950 1 1 sell
MOORE GREGORY N -$514,378 2 2 sell
Warfield Curtis -$483,252 1 1 sell
Marshall Lloyd Paul CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER -$178,340 1 1 sell
Carroll Hugh J -$168,908.48 1 1 sell
EPPS DONNA E -$146,582.5 1 1 sell
Abell Jane Grote -$60,148.77 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-20 – 2025-08-22 3 3 -$1.4M 2 C-suite
2026-03-06 – 2026-03-20 5 5 -$2.2M 2 C-suite
2026-05-13 – 2026-05-19 4 4 -$944,415.77 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 Warfield Curtis -$483,252 Transaction at $183.05, now -0.9%
2026-03-20 Tobin Regina A. PRESIDENT -$760,950 Transaction at $171.00, now +6.1%
2026-03-13 Mujica Hernan E. CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$850,000 Transaction at $170.00, now +6.8%
2026-05-15 Marshall Lloyd Paul CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER -$178,340 Transaction at $178.34, now +1.8%
2026-05-13 MOORE GREGORY N -$222,675 Transaction at $178.14, now +1.9%
2026-05-19 Abell Jane Grote -$60,148.77 Transaction at $177.43, now +2.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TXRH on Trend Edge →