TSHA — Taysha Gene Therapies Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TSHA Bullish with a Setup Score of 57, net conviction 52, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score57
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Taysha Gene Therapies Inc

Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing and commercializing adeno-associated virus-based gene therapies for the treatment of severe monogenic diseases of the central nervous system. The company primarily develops TSHA-120 for the treatment of giant axonal neuropathy; TSHA-102 for the treatment of Rett syndrome; TSHA-121 for the treatment of CLN7 disease; TSHA-118 for the treatment of CLN1 disease… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.97
Market Cap$1.99B
Float232.6M
Shares Outstanding325.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)362.96
vs. Analyst Target+123.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-2792.33%
Revenue (TTM)$5.5M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.33 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$43.0M -$9,000 -$60.0M
2021 N/A -$175M -$492,000 -$173M
2022 $2.5M -$166M $14,999 -$160M
2023 $15.5M -$112M $15.5M -$105M
2024 $8.3M -$89.3M $8.3M -$88.0M
2025 $9.8M -$109M $9.8M -$108M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$32.7M
Dec 2025 $5.5M -$27.9M
Mar 2026 N/A -$42.4M
Jun 2026 N/A -$46.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.4%
Institutional Ownership94.2%
Short Float20.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.39%
Number of Funds Holding210

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.11Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.46Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.30 support 2.96x 9 months ago
$2.00 support 1.79x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (25 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.61% 0.78% 68.00% 31.11% -15.44%
1 Day 1.46% -0.60% 40.00% 31.56% -27.52%
1 Week 0.40% -1.36% 48.00% 40.89% -41.28%
2 Weeks 2.54% 2.02% 58.33% 58.69% -36.58%
1 Month 2.93% 2.09% 54.17% 56.81% -34.51%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.33% 48.0% 277
Tuesday 0.52% 48.9% 307
Wednesday 0.09% 47.5% 305
Thursday -0.14% 44.4% 297
Friday -0.02% 42.8% 297

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.4%

Founder-led management: Steven Gray (Chief Scientific Advisor of UT Southwestern Gene Therapy Program), Berge Minassian (Chief Medical Advisor of UT Southwestern Gene Therapy Program)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$6.5M
Net Shares Change-511,452
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nagendran Sukumar President and Head of R&D -$5.1M 6 2 sell
Nolan Sean P. Chief Executive Officer -$840,191.468 1 1 sell
Alam Kamran CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$492,519.798 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-14 – 2026-01-27 4 3 -$2.6M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-10 Nagendran Sukumar President and Head of R&D -$1.2M Transaction at $6.24, now -4.3%
2026-01-27 Nagendran Sukumar President and Head of R&D -$547,465.875 Transaction at $4.72, now +26.6%
2026-01-27 Alam Kamran CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$485,039.198 Transaction at $4.72, now +26.6%
2026-01-27 Nolan Sean P. Chief Executive Officer -$840,191.468 Transaction at $4.72, now +26.6%
2025-12-01 Nagendran Sukumar President and Head of R&D -$1.1M Transaction at $3.05, now +95.7%
2026-02-06 Alam Kamran CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$7,480.6 Transaction at $4.52, now +32.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Taysha Gene Therapies Inc (TSHA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TSHA on Trend Edge →