TRVI — Trevi Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Trevi Therapeutics Inc

Trevi Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes investigational therapy for the treatment of chronic cough in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and non-IPF interstitial lung disease, and refractory chronic cough. The company develops Haduvio, an oral extended-release formulation of nalbuphine, which is in phase 2b Cough Reduction in IPF with nalbuphine ER clinical trial for treatme… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.45
Market Cap$1.97B
Float117.8M
Shares Outstanding142.0M
vs. Analyst Target+62.3% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$23.45 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$32.8M -$47,000 -$32.4M
2021 N/A -$33.9M -$50,000 -$32.7M
2022 N/A -$29.2M -$43,000 -$29.9M
2023 N/A -$29.1M -$123,000 -$28.6M
2024 N/A -$47.9M -$147,000 -$47.8M
2025 N/A -$42.8M -$132,000 -$42.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$12.3M
Sep 2025 N/A -$11.8M
Dec 2025 N/A -$8.3M
Mar 2026 N/A -$13.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership98.2%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.23%
Number of Funds Holding183

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.53Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.37Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.41Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.20 support 1.35x 7 months ago
$5.70 support 1.11x 9 months ago
$4.60 support 3.65x 13 months ago
$2.90 support 5.91x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.28% 0.32% 51.72% 10.26% -10.34%
1 Day 0.21% 0.00% 48.28% 10.30% -8.97%
1 Week -2.77% -2.45% 34.48% 37.25% -30.15%
2 Weeks -4.20% -4.70% 34.48% 24.18% -27.56%
1 Month 1.75% -5.64% 37.93% 116.34% -34.19%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%57.1%7
Feb19.4%71.4%7
Mar34.0%57.1%7
Apr12.9%57.1%7
May-12.9%0.0%6
Jun21.1%71.4%7
Jul-1.3%42.9%7
Aug-7.8%14.3%7
Sep-6.6%28.6%7
Oct-6.5%28.6%7
Nov-4.4%28.6%7
Dec3.3%57.1%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.18% 45.0% 331
Tuesday 0.28% 46.9% 367
Wednesday 0.43% 48.2% 363
Thursday 0.23% 45.1% 355
Friday 0.27% 49.7% 356

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Jennifer Good (Co-Founder, President and CEO), Thomas Sciascia (Co-Founder and Chief Scientific Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trevi Therapeutics Inc (TRVI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TRVI on Trend Edge →