TLN — Talen Energy Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Talen Energy Corporation

Talen Energy Corporation, an independent power producer and infrastructure company, produces and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale power markets in the United States. The company's plants generate power using a variety of fuels, such as nuclear, fossil, oil, natural gas, and coal power plants. It owns and operates approximately 13.1 GW of power infrastructure. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$389.00
Market Cap$17.24B
Float38.5M
Shares Outstanding45.4M
P/E (Forward)15.34
Price/Sales (TTM)5.09
vs. Analyst Target+22.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.24%
Revenue (TTM)$3.24B
Earnings Growth (YoY)34.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$475.30 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.79B -$664M $451M N/A
2021 $1.77B -$977M $244M -$301M
2022 $2.41B -$1.29B $770M -$326M
2023 $2.44B $613M $1.05B $977M
2024 $2.07B $998M $664M $1.77B
2025 $2.52B -$219M $1.25B $415M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $454M $72.0M
Sep 2025 $770M $207M
Dec 2025 $670M -$363M
Mar 2026 $2.81B $63.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership103.5%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding6.58%
Number of Funds Holding541

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$355.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$371.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$309.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$377.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$306.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$292.00 support 1.26x 9 months ago
$246.00 support 1.06x 10 months ago
$182.00 support 1.62x 17 months ago
$148.00 support 2.67x 19 months ago
$125.00 support 2.03x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (12 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% -0.04% 50.00% 7.14% -4.28%
1 Day 0.11% -0.17% 41.67% 6.52% -4.89%
1 Week -1.29% 2.67% 66.67% 9.55% -17.82%
2 Weeks 1.17% 3.21% 66.67% 16.75% -18.95%
1 Month 6.24% 7.21% 72.73% 32.08% -18.16%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 52.5% 141
Tuesday 0.36% 51.9% 154
Wednesday 0.69% 58.6% 152
Thursday 0.16% 52.4% 147
Friday 0.36% 58.3% 151

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-1,659,957
% of Float-4.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rubric Capital Management LP -$114M 1 1 sell
Schwartzstein Christine Benson -$367,418.7 1 1 sell
Nigro Joseph -$367,418.7 1 1 sell
Hyde Karen T -$367,418.7 1 1 sell
ABBAS GIZMAN I -$367,418.7 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-09 – 2025-06-09 4 4 -$1.5M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-27 Rubric Capital Management LP -$114M Transaction at $293.65, now +32.5%
2025-06-09 Schwartzstein Christine Benson -$367,418.7 Transaction at $240.30, now +61.9%
2025-06-09 Nigro Joseph -$367,418.7 Transaction at $240.30, now +61.9%
2025-06-09 Hyde Karen T -$367,418.7 Transaction at $240.30, now +61.9%
2025-06-09 ABBAS GIZMAN I -$367,418.7 Transaction at $240.30, now +61.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TLN on Trend Edge →