CEG — Constellation Energy Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CEG Bearish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 22, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score37
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Constellation Energy Corp

Constellation Energy Corporation produces and sells energy products and services in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and Other Power Regions. It offers electricity, natural gas, energy-related products, and sustainable solutions. The company has approximately 31,676 megawatts of generating capacity consisting of nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric assets. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$278.42
Market Cap$96.70B
Float353.1M
Shares Outstanding354.3M
P/E (Forward)22.62
P/E (TTM)26.68
Price/Sales (TTM)3.09
vs. Analyst Target+24.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.66%
Revenue (TTM)$31.27B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-46.80%
Dividend Rate1.7%
Analyst Target Price$347.50 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.60B $589M $3.27B $4.31B
2021 $19.65B -$205M $2.75B $3.81B
2022 $24.44B -$160M $2.14B $2.92B
2023 $24.92B $1.62B $3.30B $4.22B
2024 $23.57B $3.75B $5.99B $6.97B
2025 $25.53B $2.32B $19.36B $5.01B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.18B $930M
Dec 2025 $6.07B $432M
Mar 2026 $11.12B $1.60B
Jun 2026 $7.51B $513M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership83.1%
Short Float3.0%
% of All Funds Holding20.86%
Number of Funds Holding1,835

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$264.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$295.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$296.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$210.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$299.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$298.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$231.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$321.00 resistance 1.12x 4 months ago
$358.00 resistance 1.31x 6 months ago
$196.00 support 1.37x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.03% 0.77% 63.16% 5.00% -1.39%
1 Day 1.59% 0.71% 52.63% 10.14% -3.90%
1 Week 2.33% 2.82% 68.42% 20.81% -17.03%
2 Weeks 3.14% 4.51% 63.16% 24.56% -29.57%
1 Month 2.92% 4.63% 61.11% 30.95% -31.67%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 60.5% 215
Tuesday 0.05% 49.2% 238
Wednesday 0.28% 52.1% 236
Thursday 0.26% 50.6% 231
Friday 0.35% 55.6% 232

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$99.9M
Net Shares Change49,076
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dominguez Joseph President & CEO -$47.9M 1 1 sell
Hanson Bryan Craig EVP & Chief Generation Officer -$13.3M 1 1 sell
Eggers Daniel L. EVP & CFO -$11.1M 1 1 sell
Koehler Michael EVP & Chief Admin Officer -$8.5M 1 1 sell
MCHUGH JAMES EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$8.5M 1 1 sell
Dardis David O. EVP & General Counsel -$7.7M 1 1 sell
Bauer Matthew N SVP & Controller -$2.0M 1 1 sell
Smith Shane Patrick EVP & Chief Financial Officer -$932,113.75 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-11 – 2026-02-11 7 7 -$91.3M 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-13 CRANDALL ROGER W +$417,930.9 Transaction at $278.62, now -0.1%
2026-03-02 Koehler Michael EVP & Chief Admin Officer -$8.5M Transaction at $285.26, now -2.4%
2026-02-11 Hanson Bryan Craig EVP & Chief Generation Officer -$13.3M Transaction at $272.15, now +2.3%
2026-02-11 Eggers Daniel L. EVP & CFO -$11.1M Transaction at $272.15, now +2.3%
2026-02-11 Dominguez Joseph President & CEO -$47.9M Transaction at $272.15, now +2.3%
2026-02-11 Dardis David O. EVP & General Counsel -$7.7M Transaction at $272.15, now +2.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Constellation Energy Corp (CEG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CEG on Trend Edge →