Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Texas Capital Bank, is a full-service financial services firm that delivers customized solutions to businesses, entrepreneurs, and individual customers. The company offers commercial banking; consumer banking; investment banking solutions, including capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, and syndicated finance, as well as financial sponsor coverage, capital solutions, and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Banks-Regional
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: August 14, 2003
Headquarters: 2000 McKinney Avenue, Dallas, TX, United States, 75201
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Robert W. Holmes III (Chairman, President & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$98.14
Market Cap
$4.32B
Float
40.4M
Shares Outstanding
43.7M
P/E (Forward)
12.90
P/E (TTM)
13.32
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.47
vs. Analyst Target
+9.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
28.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)
32.24%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.60%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$107.69 (13 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$1.18B
$66.3M
$732M
$167M
2021
$987M
$254M
$909M
$431M
2022
$1.25B
$332M
$911M
$477M
2023
$1.79B
$189M
$1.00B
$287M
2024
$1.76B
$77.5M
$865M
$161M
2025
$2.00B
$330M
$1.21B
$480M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$494M
$77.3M
Sep 2025
$529M
$105M
Dec 2025
$504M
$101M
Mar 2026
$488M
$73.8M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.0%
Institutional Ownership
107.6%
Short Float
7.4%
% of All Funds Holding
3.87%
Number of Funds Holding
318
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$98.80
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$93.26
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$85.63
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$70.59
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$92.58
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$85.27
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$72.36
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$79.00
support
1.26x
9 months ago
$61.00
support
1.13x
21 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.22%
-0.02%
42.86%
9.85%
-12.88%
1 Day
0.13%
0.15%
50.55%
9.58%
-12.79%
1 Week
1.29%
1.75%
59.34%
26.22%
-16.42%
2 Weeks
1.26%
1.37%
56.04%
23.80%
-14.10%
1 Month
1.50%
1.69%
57.78%
44.18%
-27.78%
Next earnings: July 16, 2026 (48 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.5%
56.5%
23
Feb
0.7%
56.5%
23
Mar
-1.9%
52.2%
23
Apr
2.6%
52.2%
23
May
1.0%
54.5%
22
Jun
1.9%
68.2%
22
Jul
3.2%
68.2%
22
Aug
-0.7%
45.5%
22
Sep
2.2%
52.2%
23
Oct
3.7%
69.6%
23
Nov
3.0%
52.2%
23
Dec
-0.1%
52.2%
23
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.04%
50.0%
1073
Tuesday
0.10%
50.4%
1178
Wednesday
0.09%
50.9%
1177
Thursday
0.11%
52.5%
1153
Friday
0.08%
50.3%
1150
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 107.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 2.0%
Founder-led management: Robert W. Holmes III (Chairman, President & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.