TBPH — Theravance Biopharma Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TBPH Bullish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 28, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Theravance Biopharma Inc

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.93
Market Cap$880M
Float24.0M
Shares Outstanding51.8M
P/E (Forward)7.94
P/E (TTM)7.61
Price/Sales (TTM)8.02
vs. Analyst Target+4.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin104.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)-33.05%
Revenue (TTM)$110M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$17.67 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $71.9M -$278M $71.9M -$288M
2021 $55.3M -$199M -$138M -$233M
2022 $51.3M $872M -$12.0M -$76.1M
2023 $57.4M -$55.2M $16.8M -$51.6M
2024 $64.4M -$56.4M $26.7M -$38.5M
2025 $107M $106M $102M $137M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $26.2M $54.8M
Sep 2025 $20.0M $3.6M
Dec 2025 $45.9M $61.0M
Mar 2026 $17.7M -$4.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.7%
Institutional Ownership97.9%
Short Float19.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.90%
Number of Funds Holding156

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.60 resistance 2.14x 3 months ago
$14.80 support 1.70x 7 months ago
$11.10 support 1.88x 10 months ago
$10.00 support 1.51x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% -0.07% 41.67% 8.81% -9.80%
1 Day -0.57% -0.23% 43.75% 22.68% -19.84%
1 Week 0.50% -1.51% 45.83% 28.41% -19.87%
2 Weeks -0.05% -2.02% 43.75% 25.60% -21.47%
1 Month 0.15% -1.02% 45.83% 33.17% -37.86%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (31 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%50.0%12
Feb0.6%25.0%12
Mar-0.2%33.3%12
Apr3.9%58.3%12
May-6.7%33.3%12
Jun2.2%38.5%13
Jul0.5%41.7%12
Aug1.9%66.7%12
Sep-3.0%41.7%12
Oct-2.6%50.0%12
Nov11.3%75.0%12
Dec4.2%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 51.9% 572
Tuesday -0.07% 49.1% 629
Wednesday 0.00% 48.6% 626
Thursday 0.00% 49.6% 613
Friday 0.17% 52.8% 610

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change-503,610
% of Float-2.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Samaha Eli -$5.9M 2 2 sell
BROSHY ERAN -$1.4M 2 1 sell
Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$1.3M 4 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-01 Samaha Eli -$5.8M Transaction at $17.20, now -1.6%
2026-07-08 Samaha Eli -$119,396.387 Transaction at $17.14, now -1.3%
2025-11-14 BROSHY ERAN -$809,248.5 Transaction at $17.98, now -5.9%
2026-06-17 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$218,167.198 Transaction at $16.39, now +3.3%
2026-03-18 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$433,636.293 Transaction at $13.96, now +21.3%
2025-12-05 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM & MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$582,500.037 Transaction at $18.75, now -9.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TBPH on Trend Edge →