TBPH — Theravance Biopharma Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Theravance Biopharma Inc

Theravance Biopharma, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the United States. It offers YUPELRI, an once-daily, nebulized long-acting muscarinic antagonist for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); and Ampreloxetine an investigational, once-daily norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, Which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) in patients… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.41
Market Cap$842M
Float24.0M
Shares Outstanding51.6M
P/E (Forward)7.63
P/E (TTM)7.33
Price/Sales (TTM)7.67
vs. Analyst Target+4.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin104.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)-33.05%
Revenue (TTM)$110M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$17.20 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $71.9M -$278M $71.9M -$288M
2021 $55.3M -$199M -$138M -$233M
2022 $51.3M $872M -$12.0M -$76.1M
2023 $57.4M -$55.2M $16.8M -$51.6M
2024 $64.4M -$56.4M $64.4M -$38.5M
2025 $107M $106M $102M -$7.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $26.2M $54.8M
Sep 2025 $20.0M $3.6M
Dec 2025 $45.9M $61.0M
Mar 2026 $17.7M -$4.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.7%
Institutional Ownership99.1%
Short Float21.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.90%
Number of Funds Holding156

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.22Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.60 resistance 2.14x 1 months ago
$14.80 support 1.70x 5 months ago
$11.10 support 1.88x 8 months ago
$10.00 support 1.51x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% -0.07% 41.67% 8.81% -9.80%
1 Day -0.57% -0.23% 43.75% 22.68% -19.84%
1 Week 0.50% -1.51% 45.83% 28.41% -19.87%
2 Weeks -0.05% -2.02% 43.75% 25.60% -21.47%
1 Month 0.24% -0.38% 46.81% 33.17% -37.86%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.0%50.0%12
Feb0.6%25.0%12
Mar-0.2%33.3%12
Apr3.9%58.3%12
May-6.9%36.4%11
Jun1.9%33.3%12
Jul0.5%41.7%12
Aug1.9%66.7%12
Sep-3.0%41.7%12
Oct-2.6%50.0%12
Nov11.3%75.0%12
Dec4.2%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 52.3% 566
Tuesday -0.07% 49.0% 623
Wednesday -0.00% 48.5% 620
Thursday -0.00% 49.6% 607
Friday 0.17% 52.8% 606

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change-229,635
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BROSHY ERAN -$2.5M 3 2 sell
Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM and MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$1.4M 4 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-18 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM and MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$433,636.293 Transaction at $13.96, now +17.6%
2025-11-13 BROSHY ERAN -$1.1M Transaction at $18.11, now -9.4%
2025-11-14 BROSHY ERAN -$809,248.5 Transaction at $17.98, now -8.7%
2025-12-05 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM and MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$582,500.037 Transaction at $18.75, now -12.5%
2025-12-01 BROSHY ERAN -$590,020 Transaction at $20.00, now -17.9%
2025-06-04 Farnum Rhonda SVP, COMM and MEDICAL AFFAIRS -$264,000 Transaction at $11.00, now +49.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TBPH on Trend Edge →