SVRA — Savara Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SVRA Bullish with a Setup Score of 60, net conviction 52, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score60
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Savara Inc

Savara Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on rare respiratory diseases in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is molgramostim, an inhaled granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, which is in Phase 3 development stage for the treatment of autoimmune pulmonary alveolar proteinosis. Savara Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Langhorne, Pennsylvania.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.03
Market Cap$1.29B
Float130.1M
Shares Outstanding204.9M
P/E (Forward)0.41
Price/Sales (TTM)145,272.62
vs. Analyst Target+81.4% to analyst PT
Revenue (TTM)$1,000
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.94 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $257,000 -$49.6M -$34.8M -$45.9M
2021 $1,000 -$43.0M -$29.0M -$40.5M
2022 N/A -$38.1M -$27.9M -$38.0M
2023 N/A -$54.7M -$44.3M -$59.1M
2024 N/A -$95.9M -$78.0M -$102M
2025 N/A -$119M -$245,000 -$119M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$30.4M
Sep 2025 N/A -$29.6M
Dec 2025 N/A -$32.2M
Mar 2026 N/A -$37.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.6%
Institutional Ownership104.2%
Short Float24.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.04%
Number of Funds Holding168

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.65Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.60Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.20 support 1.12x 0 months ago
$4.20 support 1.37x 7 months ago
$3.60 support 1.28x 8 months ago
$2.60 support 1.05x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (36 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.00% 47.22% 15.38% -21.96%
1 Day -0.71% -0.94% 47.22% 11.48% -9.80%
1 Week 0.77% -3.05% 41.67% 29.65% -19.23%
2 Weeks 1.06% -2.85% 41.67% 37.09% -21.57%
1 Month 7.78% 2.44% 51.43% 59.80% -34.80%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%44.4%9
Feb-2.3%33.3%9
Mar-0.4%44.4%9
Apr4.5%44.4%9
May-2.2%50.0%10
Jun0.4%60.0%10
Jul0.4%55.6%9
Aug-1.0%44.4%9
Sep8.3%55.6%9
Oct-14.3%11.1%9
Nov20.2%66.7%9
Dec29.2%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 1.08% 51.0% 433
Tuesday 0.00% 44.8% 475
Wednesday -0.05% 45.8% 472
Thursday -0.11% 44.8% 464
Friday -0.11% 44.5% 463

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$2.2M
Net Shares Change-20,000
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lowrance David L Chief Financial Officer -$2.2M 1 1 sell
RAMSAY DAVID A -$121,220 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-22 Lowrance David L Chief Financial Officer -$2.2M Transaction at $4.31, now +39.8%
2025-12-19 RAMSAY DAVID A -$121,220 Transaction at $6.06, now -0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Savara Inc (SVRA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SVRA on Trend Edge →