SVA — Sinovac Biotech Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Sinovac Biotech Ltd

Sinovac Biotech Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses in the research, development, manufacture, and commercialization of vaccines against human infectious diseases in the People's Republic of China. The company's product portfolio includes vaccines against hepatitis A and B; hand, foot, and mouth diseases caused by enterovirus 71 (EV71); seasonal influenza; H5N1 and H1N1 pandemic influenza; coronavirus; varicella; and mumps. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.47
Market Cap$642M
Float59.5M
Shares Outstanding99.3M
P/E (Forward)357.14
P/E (TTM)6.66
Price/Sales (TTM)1.83
Profit Margin21.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)42.26%
Revenue (TTM)$511M
Earnings Growth (YoY)354.80%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $511M $110M $443M $222M
2021 $19.37B $8.47B $18.30B $17.65B
2022 $1.49B $114M $808M $183M
2023 $448M -$99.9M $267M -$6.0M
2024 $361M $90.9M $221M N/A
2025 $386M -$59.7M $262M N/A

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2022 $280M -$371M
Mar 2023 $1.68B -$84.7M
Jun 2023 $140M $16.9M
Dec 2023 $308M -$117M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership51.4%
Institutional Ownership32.0%
Short Float0.1%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.47Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.47Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.47Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.25% 0.00% 32.31% 12.41% -12.00%
1 Day -0.17% 0.00% 32.31% 17.13% -18.93%
1 Week -1.03% 0.00% 26.15% 21.87% -39.43%
2 Weeks 0.50% 0.00% 27.69% 95.63% -39.43%
1 Month 0.33% 0.00% 29.23% 71.88% -33.05%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%30.4%23
Feb4.4%43.5%23
Mar1.5%39.1%23
Apr1.6%26.1%23
May-3.4%26.1%23
Jun0.9%27.3%22
Jul-0.2%27.3%22
Aug9.0%40.9%22
Sep4.3%40.9%22
Oct0.5%43.5%23
Nov5.9%39.1%23
Dec-1.4%26.1%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.20% 31.0% 1070
Tuesday 0.05% 29.5% 1174
Wednesday 0.09% 31.1% 1174
Thursday 0.11% 30.5% 1149
Friday 0.01% 30.9% 1145

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 32.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 51.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sinovac Biotech Ltd (SVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SVA on Trend Edge →