STOK — Stoke Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates STOK Bullish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 45, actionability 67. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction45
Actionability67 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Stoke Therapeutics Inc

Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. engages in the development of treatments for severe genetic diseases by upregulating protein expression. The company utilizes its proprietary Targeted Augmentation of Nuclear Gene Output (TANGO) approach in developing antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) to selectively restore protein levels. Its lead product candidates include STK-002, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of autosomal dominant optic atrophy… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.38
Market Cap$2.04B
Float46.8M
Shares Outstanding62.3M
P/E (Forward)204.08
Price/Sales (TTM)63.74
vs. Analyst Target+46.6% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-857.57%
Revenue (TTM)$32.1M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$46.00 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$50.6M -$1.9M -$52.2M
2021 $3.0M -$84.7M -$2.2M -$85.1M
2022 $12.4M -$93.1M $12.4M -$103M
2023 $8.8M -$105M $8.8M -$102M
2024 $36.6M -$89.0M $36.6M -$86.8M
2025 $184M -$6.9M $184M -$5.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.8M -$23.5M
Sep 2025 $10.6M -$38.3M
Dec 2025 $1.4M -$57.9M
Mar 2026 $6.2M -$50.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership120.2%
Short Float25.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.17%
Number of Funds Holding178

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$31.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$31.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$31.97Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.50 support 1.67x 8 months ago
$19.80 support 1.30x 9 months ago
$12.60 support 1.20x 10 months ago
$6.60 support 1.35x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.27% 0.30% 58.62% 70.31% -13.42%
1 Day 3.95% 0.67% 65.52% 58.31% -9.94%
1 Week 6.15% 4.23% 65.52% 97.15% -16.57%
2 Weeks 4.82% 2.24% 58.62% 96.31% -25.59%
1 Month 7.85% 1.60% 53.57% 90.92% -28.21%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.4%28.6%7
Feb3.9%42.9%7
Mar1.1%28.6%7
Apr-3.0%42.9%7
May12.7%57.1%7
Jun-1.1%42.9%7
Jul-3.8%57.1%7
Aug13.9%57.1%7
Sep-10.4%28.6%7
Oct11.0%71.4%7
Nov-2.5%42.9%7
Dec12.3%71.4%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 50.0% 332
Tuesday 0.49% 52.5% 366
Wednesday 0.06% 49.2% 362
Thursday -0.03% 47.3% 355
Friday 0.14% 49.4% 354

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 120.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Founder-led management: Isabel Aznarez (Co-Founder, Head of Research & Senior VP)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings37
Net Value-$4.1M
Net Shares Change-331,871
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Allan Jonathan GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP SEC -$454,863.823 3 3 sell
Ticho Barry CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER -$408,693.836 3 2 sell
Kaye Edward M. MD -$285,695.364 2 2 sell
Leggett Thomas Chief Financial Officer -$147,145.16 1 1 sell
Hoitt Jason Chief Patient Officer -$119,310.733 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-20 – 2025-09-03 6 3 -$2.0M 4 C-suite
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-10 4 3 -$2.1M 2 C-suite
2025-11-26 – 2025-12-10 9 4 -$3.0M 5 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-17 4 3 -$1.8M 1 C-suite
2026-03-19 – 2026-03-24 5 4 -$1.3M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-19 Leggett Thomas Chief Financial Officer -$147,145.16 Transaction at $32.14, now -2.4%
2026-03-19 Hoitt Jason Chief Patient Officer -$119,310.733 Transaction at $32.14, now -2.4%
2026-03-19 Allan Jonathan GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP SEC -$285,901.311 Transaction at $32.14, now -2.4%
2026-07-06 Ticho Barry CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER -$236,067.926 Transaction at $32.66, now -3.9%
2025-12-03 Ticho Barry CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER -$121,468.32 Transaction at $30.22, now +3.9%
2025-12-03 Allan Jonathan GENERAL COUNSEL & CORP SEC -$138,267.958 Transaction at $30.22, now +3.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stoke Therapeutics Inc (STOK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STOK on Trend Edge →