STKS — One Group Hospitality Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About One Group Hospitality Inc

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments. Its restaurant brands include STK, an American steakhouse that serves steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails; Benihana, a dining destination wherein chefs prepare food in front of guests and serve sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a casua… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.96
Market Cap$62.2M
Float20.2M
Shares Outstanding31.6M
P/E (Forward)7.53
Price/Sales (TTM)0.08
vs. Analyst Target+148.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-11.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.67%
Revenue (TTM)$807M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-2.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.88 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $142M -$12.8M $20.9M $7.0M
2021 $277M $31.3M $65.2M $38.6M
2022 $317M $13.5M $66.6M $28.4M
2023 $333M $4.7M $65.8M $34.0M
2024 $673M -$15.8M $123M $40.7M
2025 $806M -$92.2M $95.9M $87.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $207M -$10.1M
Sep 2025 $180M -$76.7M
Dec 2025 $207M -$6.4M
Mar 2026 $213M $3.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership33.0%
Institutional Ownership39.1%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.35%
Number of Funds Holding29

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.10Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.71Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.62Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.00 resistance 1.62x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.41% 0.00% 47.92% 15.64% -14.54%
1 Day 0.82% 0.00% 39.58% 20.60% -18.62%
1 Week 1.60% -0.78% 47.92% 41.35% -22.96%
2 Weeks 3.05% 0.92% 52.08% 58.33% -16.45%
1 Month 2.99% -2.05% 44.68% 49.72% -21.40%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%41.7%12
Feb-0.4%33.3%12
Mar2.8%58.3%12
Apr3.9%41.7%12
May0.1%45.5%11
Jun-2.5%54.5%11
Jul-2.8%33.3%12
Aug-0.9%33.3%12
Sep-0.4%50.0%12
Oct-5.1%25.0%12
Nov11.9%58.3%12
Dec-0.6%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 43.9% 561
Tuesday 0.01% 44.6% 617
Wednesday -0.07% 41.2% 614
Thursday 0.15% 45.3% 601
Friday 0.08% 44.2% 600

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 39.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 33.0%

Founder-led management: Jonathan Segal (Executive Chairman & Director of Business Development)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-350,091
% of Float-1.7%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kanen David -$1.7M 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-07-09 Kanen David -$1.6M Transaction at $4.78, now -59.0%
2025-07-01 Kanen David -$112,626.91 Transaction at $4.61, now -57.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STKS on Trend Edge →