SKYW — SkyWest Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SKYW Bearish with a Setup Score of 26, net conviction 20, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score26
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction20
Actionability34 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About SkyWest Inc

SkyWest, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of a regional airline in the United States. It operates through SkyWest Airlines and SWC; and SkyWest Leasing segments. The company is also involved in leasing regional jet aircraft and spare engines to third parties and provision of on-demand charter service, airport customer service, and ground handling services for other airlines. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$101.68
Market Cap$3.91B
Float38.1M
Shares Outstanding38.8M
P/E (Forward)9.52
P/E (TTM)10.01
Price/Sales (TTM)0.93
vs. Analyst Target+23.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.13%
Revenue (TTM)$4.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$125.17 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.13B -$8.5M -$13.9M $591M
2021 $2.71B $112M $194M $714M
2022 $3.00B $73.0M $499M $614M
2023 $2.94B $34.3M $372M $554M
2024 $3.53B $323M $789M $930M
2025 $4.06B $428M $2.50B $1.03B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.05B $116M
Dec 2025 $1.02B $91.2M
Mar 2026 $1.01B $102M
Jun 2026 $1.10B $101M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership96.1%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.98%
Number of Funds Holding350

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$102.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$97.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$98.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$73.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$97.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$100.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$83.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$84.00 support 1.39x 1 months ago
$119.00 resistance 1.01x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.82% 0.26% 57.02% 16.73% -14.57%
1 Day 0.59% 0.24% 52.89% 22.35% -22.37%
1 Week 1.48% 1.15% 56.20% 33.37% -27.56%
2 Weeks 1.85% 1.49% 58.68% 29.43% -28.19%
1 Month 2.84% -0.53% 48.33% 55.71% -31.11%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%47.5%40
Feb-1.1%42.5%40
Mar5.4%62.5%40
Apr0.8%47.5%40
May-0.9%47.5%40
Jun2.4%52.5%40
Jul3.6%61.0%41
Aug1.3%50.0%40
Sep-3.6%45.0%40
Oct6.5%65.0%40
Nov3.3%60.0%40
Dec1.3%52.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 45.5% 1908
Tuesday 0.11% 45.9% 2076
Wednesday 0.05% 47.3% 2074
Thursday 0.16% 46.5% 2034
Friday 0.18% 46.9% 2023

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$15.8M
Net Shares Change-153,651
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Childs Russell A PRESIDENT & CEO -$5.7M 1 1 sell
Steel Wade J CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$5.4M 3 3 sell
SIMMONS ROBERT J CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$2.8M 1 1 sell
Wooley Greg EXEC VP OPERATIONS -$1.9M 1 1 sell
Madden Meredith Siegfried -$503,413.785 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-30 – 2026-08-05 4 4 -$12.9M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-30 Childs Russell A PRESIDENT & CEO -$5.7M Transaction at $113.21, now -10.2%
2026-08-05 Steel Wade J CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$2.5M Transaction at $111.44, now -8.8%
2026-07-31 Wooley Greg EXEC VP OPERATIONS -$1.9M Transaction at $108.55, now -6.3%
2026-07-31 SIMMONS ROBERT J CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$2.8M Transaction at $110.49, now -8.0%
2026-02-26 Steel Wade J CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$2.2M Transaction at $106.53, now -4.6%
2026-02-19 Steel Wade J CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$792,845.399 Transaction at $107.56, now -5.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for SkyWest Inc (SKYW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SKYW on Trend Edge →