SHOE — Shoe Station Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SHOE Bearish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 50, actionability 17. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score29
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction50
Actionability17 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Shoe Station Group Inc.

Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails footwear in the United States. Its products include shoes, sneakers, heels, sandals, boots, work and safety shoes, and athletic shoes; and accessories for men, women and kids. It sells its products through stores, online, and mobile app. The company was formerly known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.07
Market Cap$387M
Float18.0M
Shares Outstanding27.2M
P/E (Forward)15.43
P/E (TTM)16.16
Price/Sales (TTM)0.35
vs. Analyst Target-0.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.68%
Revenue (TTM)$1.11B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-67.10%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$15.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $977M $16.0M $280M $80.1M
2022 $1.33B $155M $527M $269M
2023 $1.26B $110M $468M $218M
2024 $1.18B $73.3M $422M $125M
2025 $1.20B $73.8M $429M $129M
2026 $1.14B $52.3M $415M $105M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $297M $14.6M
Jan 2026 $254M $9.1M
Apr 2026 $271M -$5.6M
Jul 2026 $284M $6.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership33.5%
Institutional Ownership75.9%
Short Float52.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.90%
Number of Funds Holding167

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$24.63Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.90 support 1.30x 0 months ago
$15.50 resistance 1.16x 1 months ago
$17.50 resistance 1.28x 4 months ago
$22.00 resistance 1.63x 17 months ago
$33.30 resistance 1.28x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.04% 0.24% 61.62% 20.65% -12.75%
1 Day 1.31% 0.55% 54.55% 29.67% -16.49%
1 Week 0.98% 1.04% 54.55% 28.55% -40.54%
2 Weeks 2.65% 1.95% 59.60% 43.89% -17.56%
1 Month 1.73% 1.14% 55.10% 36.24% -21.79%

Next earnings: November 19, 2026 (20 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.8%36.4%33
Feb2.3%51.5%33
Mar5.6%63.6%33
Apr3.6%64.7%34
May2.4%55.9%34
Jun1.6%58.8%34
Jul-2.3%44.1%34
Aug2.8%52.9%34
Sep-4.3%38.2%34
Oct-2.1%42.4%33
Nov4.3%57.6%33
Dec4.4%54.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 45.4% 1591
Tuesday 0.08% 46.8% 1737
Wednesday 0.12% 47.6% 1736
Thursday 0.12% 47.9% 1703
Friday 0.09% 44.9% 1694

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 33.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$500,030
Net Shares Change31,000
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JACKSON W KERRY EVP - CFO +$500,030 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-06 JACKSON W KERRY EVP - CFO +$500,030 Transaction at $16.13, now -6.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SHOE on Trend Edge →