SHOE — Shoe Station Group Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SHOE Bearish with a Setup Score of 61, net conviction 41, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score61
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Shoe Station Group Inc.

Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. It offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. The company also operates stores. It sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.48
Market Cap$388M
Float17.8M
Shares Outstanding27.2M
P/E (Forward)9.82
P/E (TTM)10.92
Price/Sales (TTM)0.34
Profit Margin3.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.80%
Revenue (TTM)$1.13B
Dividend Rate0.6%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2023 $1.26B $110M $468M N/A
2024 $1.18B $73.3M $421M N/A
2025 $1.20B $73.8M $429M N/A
2026 $1.14B $52.3M $415M N/A

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $306M $19.2M
Oct 2025 $297M $14.6M
Jan 2026 $254M $9.1M
Apr 2026 $271M -$5.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership33.9%
Institutional Ownership74.4%
Short Float21.1%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.31Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$25.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.50 resistance 1.33x 1 months ago
$22.00 resistance 1.63x 15 months ago
$33.30 resistance 1.28x 17 months ago
$26.30 resistance 1.08x 17 months ago
$43.00 resistance 1.33x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (98 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.11% 59.18% 7.75% -10.43%
1 Day 0.21% 0.03% 50.00% 10.85% -9.95%
1 Week 0.09% 0.34% 54.08% 25.12% -40.54%
2 Weeks 1.66% 1.04% 55.10% 43.89% -15.77%
1 Month 0.97% 1.43% 56.70% 35.73% -21.79%

Next earnings: September 3, 2026 (34 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.8%36.4%33
Feb2.3%51.5%33
Mar5.6%63.6%33
Apr3.6%64.7%34
May2.4%55.9%34
Jun1.6%58.8%34
Jul-2.4%42.4%33
Aug3.2%54.5%33
Sep-4.2%39.4%33
Oct-2.1%42.4%33
Nov4.3%57.6%33
Dec4.4%54.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 45.2% 1579
Tuesday 0.09% 46.8% 1724
Wednesday 0.12% 47.6% 1723
Thursday 0.12% 47.8% 1690
Friday 0.09% 45.0% 1681

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 74.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 33.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$500,030
Net Shares Change28,523
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JACKSON W KERRY EVP - CFO +$500,030 1 1 buy
Guthrie Andrea R. -$50,047.785 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-06 JACKSON W KERRY EVP - CFO +$500,030 Transaction at $16.13, now -4.0%
2025-10-16 Guthrie Andrea R. -$50,047.785 Transaction at $20.20, now -23.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SHOE on Trend Edge →