SFM — Sprouts Farmers Market LLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SFM Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 19, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction19
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Sprouts Farmers Market LLC

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retailing of fresh, natural, and organic food products in the United States. The company offers healthy grocery stores; and lifestyle-friendly ingredients such as organic, plant-based, keto, paleo, non-GMO, and gluten-free. The company also offers perishable product categories, including produce, meat and meat alternatives, seafood, deli, bakery, floral, and dairy altern… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$86.83
Market Cap$7.31B
Float92.5M
Shares Outstanding93.2M
P/E (Forward)14.43
P/E (TTM)15.19
Price/Sales (TTM)0.81
vs. Analyst Target+9.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.49%
Revenue (TTM)$9.00B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$94.64 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.47B $287M $2.39B $518M
2021 $6.10B $244M $2.22B $464M
2022 $6.40B $261M $2.36B $493M
2023 $6.84B $259M $2.54B $519M
2024 $7.72B $381M $2.96B $645M
2025 $8.81B $524M $3.27B $996M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.20B $120M
Dec 2025 $2.15B $89.8M
Mar 2026 $2.33B $164M
Jun 2026 $2.33B $129M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership114.1%
Short Float11.6%
% of All Funds Holding7.21%
Number of Funds Holding634

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$82.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$79.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$110.06Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$84.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$80.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$112.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$92.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$108.00 resistance 1.78x 9 months ago
$138.00 resistance 1.30x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (53 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.30% 0.22% 56.60% 20.59% -22.06%
1 Day 0.75% 1.02% 56.60% 15.07% -26.11%
1 Week 1.63% 0.00% 49.06% 20.94% -25.55%
2 Weeks 1.78% 1.72% 60.38% 22.27% -26.67%
1 Month 3.28% 3.79% 61.54% 37.09% -20.80%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%46.2%13
Feb3.1%53.8%13
Mar6.1%69.2%13
Apr-0.0%38.5%13
May-0.7%46.2%13
Jun-0.6%46.2%13
Jul0.8%53.8%13
Aug-0.9%58.3%12
Sep-1.4%46.2%13
Oct-1.2%46.2%13
Nov6.9%76.9%13
Dec0.6%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 49.4% 617
Tuesday -0.04% 45.6% 677
Wednesday -0.03% 48.1% 672
Thursday 0.06% 53.0% 660
Friday 0.20% 56.7% 658

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 114.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings58
Net Value-$21.0M
Net Shares Change150,606
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings55
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Konat Nicholas President & COO -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Lombardi Brandon F. Chief Legal Officer -$1.1M 2 2 sell
Hamilton Dustin Chief Stores Officer -$1.0M 1 1 sell
Zalatoris Timmi Chief Human Resources Officer -$932,795.437 2 2 sell
Anderson Joel D +$339,548 1 1 buy
O'Leary Joseph D -$214,440.003 1 1 sell
Blum Kristen E +$100,700 1 1 buy
Gmelich Alisa SVP, Chief Marketing Officer -$100,104.761 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-29 – 2025-09-12 5 4 -$2.2M 5 C-suite
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-23 42 13 -$10.4M 40 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-12 Konat Nicholas President & COO -$1.1M Transaction at $87.90, now -1.2%
2026-08-14 O'Leary Joseph D -$214,440.003 Transaction at $82.57, now +5.2%
2026-03-09 Anderson Joel D +$339,548 Transaction at $77.17, now +12.5%
2026-03-11 Blum Kristen E +$100,700 Transaction at $76.00, now +14.2%
2026-03-19 Lombardi Brandon F. Chief Legal Officer -$1.0M Transaction at $82.58, now +5.1%
2026-03-19 Zalatoris Timmi Chief Human Resources Officer -$873,230.781 Transaction at $83.72, now +3.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sprouts Farmers Market LLC (SFM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SFM on Trend Edge →