Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates GO Bearish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 24, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
29
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
24
Actionability
34 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
80wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 11.78 vs px 11.96)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 19.38 vs px 11.96)
About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently operated stores in the United States. It offers perishable department products, including dairy and deli; produce and floral; and meat and seafood. The company also provides non-perishable department products, such as non-perishable grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Grocery Stores
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: June 20, 2019
Headquarters: 5650 Hollis Street, EmeryVille, CA, United States, 94608
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$11.44
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$9.36
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$11.78
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$19.38
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$9.72
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$11.81
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$17.41
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Volume shelf data not available.
Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.01%
-0.60%
43.33%
22.50%
-29.80%
1 Day
-2.29%
-2.77%
36.67%
42.70%
-30.18%
1 Week
-1.58%
-0.77%
43.33%
41.24%
-30.83%
2 Weeks
-0.65%
-0.70%
46.67%
41.55%
-33.67%
1 Month
0.65%
-3.96%
41.38%
42.45%
-21.31%
Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (24 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-0.9%
57.1%
7
Feb
-5.6%
42.9%
7
Mar
4.9%
85.7%
7
Apr
5.3%
71.4%
7
May
-3.1%
42.9%
7
Jun
5.7%
85.7%
7
Jul
2.2%
62.5%
8
Aug
3.3%
37.5%
8
Sep
-10.5%
0.0%
8
Oct
-3.9%
42.9%
7
Nov
5.7%
57.1%
7
Dec
-6.5%
14.3%
7
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.08%
47.4%
344
Tuesday
0.12%
51.5%
379
Wednesday
-0.27%
48.5%
375
Thursday
-0.15%
50.1%
367
Friday
0.35%
57.8%
367
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 122.1%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 6.1%
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
26
Net Value
+$1.7M
Net Shares Change
1,243,646
% of Float
1.4%
C-Suite Filings
16
Clusters Detected
3
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Potter Jason J. N.
President and CEO
+$2.4M
2
2 buy
Lindberg Eric J. Jr.
+$1.6M
1
1 buy
Ragatz Erik D.
+$1.6M
2
2 buy
Miller Paul Blaine
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Purchasing & Merchandising Officer.
+$228,400
3
3 buy
Jaros Carey F.
+$175,500
1
1 buy
Kerr Frank Michael
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Store Operations Officer.
-$16,181.6
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-20
17
10
+$5.7M
9 C-suite
2026-03-25 – 2026-04-02
3
3
+$1.6M
2 C-suite
2026-08-21 – 2026-08-31
3
3
+$246,518.4
2 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-08-21
Miller Paul Blaine
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Purchasing & Merchandising Officer.
+$87,200
Transaction at $10.90, now +9.7%
2026-08-31
Jaros Carey F.
+$175,500
Transaction at $11.70, now +2.2%
2026-06-22
Miller Paul Blaine
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Purchasing & Merchandising Officer.
+$93,700
Transaction at $9.37, now +27.6%
2026-08-24
Kerr Frank Michael
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Store Operations Officer.
-$16,181.6
Transaction at $11.30, now +5.8%
2026-06-29
Miller Paul Blaine
The reporting person's title is EVP, Chief Purchasing & Merchandising Officer.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
(GO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.