DNUT — Krispy Kreme Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Krispy Kreme Inc

Krispy Kreme, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces doughnuts in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Canada, Japan, and internationally. It operates in three segments: U.S., International, and Market Development. The company offers doughnut experiences through hot light theater and fresh shops, delivers fresh daily branded cabinets and merchandising units within grocery and convenience stores, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.41
Market Cap$562M
Float91.0M
Shares Outstanding172.4M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.37
vs. Analyst Target+27.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-33.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.89%
Revenue (TTM)$1.51B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.35 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.12B -$64.8M $243M $85.8M
2021 $1.38B -$24.5M $1.03B $141M
2022 $1.53B -$15.6M $1.12B $136M
2023 $1.69B -$37.9M $1.24B $135M
2024 $1.67B $3.1M $1.26B $213M
2025 $1.52B -$516M $214M -$342M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $380M -$435M
Sep 2025 $375M -$19.4M
Dec 2025 $392M -$27.8M
Mar 2026 $367M -$28.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership50.4%
Institutional Ownership42.5%
Short Float19.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.95%
Number of Funds Holding160

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.48Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.73Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.00 support 3.64x 9 months ago
$4.90 resistance 1.78x 12 months ago
$6.30 resistance 1.59x 13 months ago
$8.80 resistance 1.76x 14 months ago
$12.60 resistance 1.53x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.01% 0.10% 55.00% 6.16% -3.87%
1 Day -1.64% -0.72% 45.00% 6.39% -16.34%
1 Week 0.33% -0.42% 50.00% 17.74% -19.17%
2 Weeks -1.21% -1.92% 45.00% 20.01% -22.23%
1 Month -3.39% -5.66% 42.11% 23.11% -29.87%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 43.4% 228
Tuesday 0.02% 45.5% 255
Wednesday -0.27% 47.6% 252
Thursday 0.18% 49.8% 245
Friday -0.22% 45.0% 249

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 50.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$11,294.237
Net Shares Change-2,641
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Esposito Joseph J Chief Accounting Officer -$11,294.237 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-12 Esposito Joseph J Chief Accounting Officer -$11,294.237 Transaction at $4.28, now -20.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Krispy Kreme Inc (DNUT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DNUT on Trend Edge →