RXRX — Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company develops REC-4881, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial to treat familial adenomatous polyposis; REC-617, which is in Phase 1/2 cli… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.93
Market Cap$1.58B
Float513.0M
Shares Outstanding524.7M
Price/Sales (TTM)23.86
vs. Analyst Target+126.7% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1985.55%
Revenue (TTM)$66.4M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.64 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.4M -$87.0M $3.4M -$81.7M
2021 $10.0M -$178M $10.0M -$174M
2022 $39.7M -$239M -$8.6M -$234M
2023 $43.9M -$328M $1.3M -$308M
2024 $58.8M -$464M $13.6M -$427M
2025 $74.7M -$645M -$46.3M -$559M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $19.1M -$172M
Sep 2025 $5.2M -$162M
Dec 2025 $35.5M -$108M
Mar 2026 $6.5M -$118M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership68.9%
Short Float33.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.78%
Number of Funds Holding311

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.11Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.80 resistance 1.52x 13 months ago
$13.40 resistance 1.13x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.72% -0.57% 47.62% 6.13% -14.90%
1 Day -1.74% -0.90% 33.33% 12.03% -17.65%
1 Week -0.13% 1.71% 55.00% 30.76% -28.11%
2 Weeks -1.45% -3.63% 30.00% 57.36% -32.67%
1 Month 4.38% -0.83% 45.00% 77.13% -39.63%

Next earnings: May 11, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 51.9% 237
Tuesday 0.09% 48.7% 263
Wednesday 0.42% 47.1% 261
Thursday -0.70% 41.7% 254
Friday 0.01% 45.5% 257

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 68.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

Founder-led management: Christopher C. Gibson (Co-Founder, Chairman & Interim Executive Advisor)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings30
Net Value-$7.9M
Net Shares Change-1,279,144
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings16
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gibson Christopher -$3.5M 2 N/A
Borgeson Blake -$3.4M 4 N/A
Khan Najat Chief RandD Commercial Officer -$772,135.185 2 1 sell
Taylor Ben R Chief Financial Officer -$172,291.94 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-19 – 2025-12-30 3 3 -$817,973.289 3 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-18 3 3 -$734,026.98 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-19 Khan Najat Chief RandD Commercial Officer -$223,542.836 Transaction at $5.58, now -47.5%
2025-12-29 Khan Najat Chief RandD Commercial Officer -$548,592.349 Transaction at $4.41, now -33.6%
2026-02-19 Taylor Ben R Chief Financial Officer -$82,911 Transaction at $3.29, now -10.8%
2026-03-04 Borgeson Blake -$588,200 Transaction at $3.46, now -15.3%
2025-12-30 Taylor Ben R Chief Financial Officer -$89,380.94 Transaction at $4.18, now -29.9%
2026-02-05 Borgeson Blake -$924,000 Transaction at $4.20, now -30.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RXRX on Trend Edge →