RRGB — Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RRGB Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 25, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.99
Market Cap$126M
Float14.0M
Shares Outstanding18.5M
P/E (Forward)18.69
Price/Sales (TTM)0.11
vs. Analyst Target+44.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.41%
Revenue (TTM)$1.20B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.13 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $869M -$276M $238M -$186M
2021 $1.16B -$50.4M $394M $47.0M
2022 $1.27B -$78.9M $420M $18.8M
2023 $1.30B -$21.2M $418M $71.8M
2024 $1.25B -$77.5M $853M $5.4M
2025 $1.21B -$23.3M $822M $54.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $284M $4.0M
Sep 2025 $265M -$18.4M
Dec 2025 $269M -$10.1M
Mar 2026 $378M -$2.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.9%
Institutional Ownership65.6%
Short Float13.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.67%
Number of Funds Holding55

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.94Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.10 support 1.22x 0 months ago
$3.60 support 1.88x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (96 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.43% -0.13% 47.92% 39.62% -26.07%
1 Day 1.35% 1.86% 57.29% 62.94% -28.86%
1 Week 2.90% 0.67% 53.13% 111.50% -26.10%
2 Weeks 0.77% 0.46% 53.13% 54.95% -35.73%
1 Month 3.43% 1.05% 54.74% 120.13% -28.65%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%41.7%24
Feb4.3%62.5%24
Mar4.1%62.5%24
Apr3.9%54.2%24
May2.8%45.8%24
Jun0.3%41.7%24
Jul-0.6%47.8%23
Aug-3.5%50.0%24
Sep2.4%58.3%24
Oct-2.9%50.0%24
Nov2.4%45.8%24
Dec3.6%62.5%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 48.0% 1131
Tuesday 0.14% 49.0% 1239
Wednesday 0.11% 48.7% 1237
Thursday -0.02% 48.4% 1213
Friday 0.15% 48.1% 1207

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$104,008.543
Net Shares Change22,311
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Martin Christopher Ross +$330,470.9 1 1 buy
Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$58,759.12 3 N/A
Wilson Joshua Todd CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$24,962.25 1 N/A
Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$20,287.174 3 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-25 Martin Christopher Ross +$330,470.9 Transaction at $6.24, now +12.1%
2026-03-24 Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$34,932.84 Transaction at $3.10, now +125.5%
2026-03-24 Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$12,732.4 Transaction at $3.10, now +125.5%
2026-03-17 Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$12,962 Transaction at $3.21, now +117.7%
2026-03-17 Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$4,501.542 Transaction at $3.21, now +117.7%
2025-12-11 Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$10,864.28 Transaction at $3.88, now +80.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RRGB on Trend Edge →