RRGB — Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.50
Market Cap$86.2M
Float14.3M
Shares Outstanding18.5M
P/E (Forward)18.69
Price/Sales (TTM)0.07
vs. Analyst Target+125.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.45%
Revenue (TTM)$1.20B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.13 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $869M -$276M $238M -$186M
2021 $1.16B -$50.4M $394M $47.0M
2022 $1.27B -$78.9M $420M $18.8M
2023 $1.30B -$21.2M $418M $71.8M
2024 $1.25B -$77.5M $853M $5.4M
2025 $1.21B -$23.3M $822M $54.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $284M $4.0M
Sep 2025 $265M -$18.4M
Dec 2025 $269M -$10.1M
Mar 2026 $378M -$2.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.7%
Institutional Ownership65.8%
Short Float14.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.67%
Number of Funds Holding55

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.65Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.60 support 1.75x 0 months ago
$4.80 resistance 1.19x 1 months ago
$7.50 resistance 1.50x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (96 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.43% -0.13% 47.92% 39.62% -26.07%
1 Day 1.35% 1.86% 57.29% 62.94% -28.86%
1 Week 2.66% 0.51% 52.63% 111.50% -26.10%
2 Weeks 0.62% 0.34% 52.63% 54.95% -35.73%
1 Month 3.43% 1.05% 54.74% 120.13% -28.65%

Next earnings: August 7, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%41.7%24
Feb4.3%62.5%24
Mar4.1%62.5%24
Apr3.9%54.2%24
May1.0%43.5%23
Jun-2.2%39.1%23
Jul-0.6%47.8%23
Aug-3.5%50.0%24
Sep2.4%58.3%24
Oct-2.9%50.0%24
Nov2.4%45.8%24
Dec3.6%62.5%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 48.0% 1125
Tuesday 0.12% 48.9% 1233
Wednesday 0.11% 48.8% 1231
Thursday -0.03% 48.3% 1207
Friday 0.13% 48.0% 1203

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$104,008.543
Net Shares Change37,221
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Martin Christopher Ross +$330,470.9 1 1 buy
Ackil Anthony S +$74,997.3 1 1 buy
Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$58,759.12 3 N/A
Wilson Joshua Todd CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$24,962.25 1 N/A
Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$20,287.174 3 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-23 Ackil Anthony S +$74,997.3 Transaction at $5.03, now -10.5%
2025-08-25 Martin Christopher Ross +$330,470.9 Transaction at $6.24, now -27.8%
2026-03-24 Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$34,932.84 Transaction at $3.10, now +45.2%
2026-03-24 Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$12,732.4 Transaction at $3.10, now +45.2%
2026-03-17 Mussetter Sarah A. CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER -$12,962 Transaction at $3.21, now +40.2%
2026-03-17 Griffith Jesse Chief Operations Officer -$4,501.542 Transaction at $3.21, now +40.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RRGB on Trend Edge →