RPRX — Royalty Pharma Plc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RPRX Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 66, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction66
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Royalty Pharma Plc

Royalty Pharma plc operates as a buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties and a funder of innovation in the biopharmaceutical industry in the United States. Its portfolio consists of royalties on approximately 35 marketed therapies and 20 development-stage product candidates that address various therapeutic areas, such as rare disease, oncology, neuroscience, infectious disease, hematology, and diabetes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$62.07
Market Cap$35.01B
Float415.4M
Shares Outstanding445.3M
P/E (Forward)47.85
P/E (TTM)32.57
Price/Sales (TTM)13.80
vs. Analyst Target+4.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin32.02%
Operating Margin (TTM)19.75%
Revenue (TTM)$2.54B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-46.30%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$64.75 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.12B $975M $2.12B $1.88B
2021 $2.29B $620M $2.29B $1.43B
2022 $2.24B $42.8M $2.24B $424M
2023 $2.35B $1.13B $2.35B $1.89B
2024 $2.26B $859M $2.26B $1.56B
2025 $2.38B $771M $2.38B $1.64B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $609M $288M
Dec 2025 $622M $214M
Mar 2026 $631M $295M
Jun 2026 $674M $17.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.5%
Institutional Ownership87.3%
Short Float2.6%
% of All Funds Holding7.31%
Number of Funds Holding643

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$58.46Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$49.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$42.13Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$49.69Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$42.03Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$50.00 support 1.07x 2 months ago
$33.00 support 1.11x 13 months ago
$31.10 support 1.44x 17 months ago
$25.60 support 1.44x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (26 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.46% 0.21% 57.69% 2.96% -1.31%
1 Day -0.31% -0.22% 42.31% 1.94% -3.34%
1 Week -0.33% -0.89% 42.31% 5.97% -5.82%
2 Weeks -0.60% -1.15% 42.31% 8.31% -10.64%
1 Month 0.56% 0.47% 52.00% 10.07% -9.69%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 50.2% 291
Tuesday 0.02% 50.2% 321
Wednesday -0.02% 48.1% 320
Thursday 0.04% 50.6% 312
Friday 0.14% 51.6% 310

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.5%

Founder-led management: Pablo Legorreta (Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings35
Net Value-$86.3M
Net Shares Change-1,954,388
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings34
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hite Christopher EVP & Chairman, Partnering -$21.5M 3 N/A
Coyne Terrance P. EVP & CFO -$10.7M 6 N/A
Urist Marshall EVP, Research & Investments -$502,066.761 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-19 – 2025-12-03 5 3 -$15.0M 5 C-suite
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-19 5 3 -$13.7M 5 C-suite
2026-05-15 – 2026-05-28 4 3 -$5.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 Hite Christopher EVP & Chairman, Partnering -$6.0M Transaction at $59.97, now +3.5%
2026-08-17 Coyne Terrance P. EVP & CFO -$645,551.152 Transaction at $58.68, now +5.8%
2026-07-02 Hite Christopher EVP & Chairman, Partnering -$7.3M Transaction at $56.49, now +9.9%
2026-06-25 Hite Christopher EVP & Chairman, Partnering -$8.2M Transaction at $54.40, now +14.1%
2026-05-28 Coyne Terrance P. EVP & CFO -$3.5M Transaction at $53.98, now +15.0%
2026-06-25 Urist Marshall EVP, Research & Investments -$502,066.761 Transaction at $55.18, now +12.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Royalty Pharma Plc (RPRX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RPRX on Trend Edge →