Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates REPL Bearish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 20, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
29
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
20
Actionability
42 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
Fresh Breakdown — 80wk turn 20w
80wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 8.43 vs px 11.11)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 12.27 vs px 11.11)
Short Attack — velZ +3.44 · age 92w×0.45 · 39.23%
About Replimune Group Inc
Replimune Group, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of oncolytic immunotherapies to treat cancer in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company's proprietary oncolytic immunotherapy product candidates are designed and intended to activate the immune system against cancer. Its lead product candidate is RP1, a selectively replicating version of HSV-1 that expresses GALV-GP R(-) a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: July 20, 2018
Headquarters: 500 Unicorn Park Drive, Woburn, MA, United States, 01801
Founder-Led: Yes — Philip Astley-Sparke (Executive Chairman)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$10.99
Market Cap
$933M
Float
59.7M
Shares Outstanding
83.9M
vs. Analyst Target
-2.9% to analyst PT
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$10.67 (8 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2021
N/A
-$80.9M
-$4.1M
-$76.5M
2022
N/A
-$118M
-$4.6M
-$114M
2023
N/A
-$174M
-$2.4M
-$172M
2024
N/A
-$216M
-$2.7M
-$228M
2025
N/A
-$247M
-$3.5M
-$254M
2026
N/A
-$314M
N/A
-$314M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
N/A
-$86.7M
Sep 2025
N/A
-$83.1M
Dec 2025
N/A
-$70.9M
Mar 2026
N/A
-$73.2M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.6%
Institutional Ownership
95.5%
Short Float
38.3%
% of All Funds Holding
2.06%
Number of Funds Holding
169
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$8.56
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$7.77
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$8.42
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$12.27
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$8.51
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$8.91
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$10.80
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$2.60
support
1.85x
1 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (32 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.02%
0.69%
62.50%
7.14%
-14.85%
1 Day
-0.19%
0.14%
53.13%
16.44%
-18.50%
1 Week
-0.31%
1.42%
59.38%
9.25%
-22.32%
2 Weeks
-0.03%
-1.02%
48.39%
16.21%
-19.05%
1 Month
1.25%
2.38%
58.06%
29.55%
-31.21%
Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-1.4%
62.5%
8
Feb
-5.1%
37.5%
8
Mar
-8.8%
25.0%
8
Apr
2.1%
50.0%
8
May
25.5%
50.0%
8
Jun
22.9%
87.5%
8
Jul
-8.8%
28.6%
7
Aug
2.3%
37.5%
8
Sep
-5.5%
25.0%
8
Oct
26.8%
62.5%
8
Nov
3.6%
62.5%
8
Dec
-8.7%
25.0%
8
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.18%
46.5%
376
Tuesday
-0.10%
47.6%
412
Wednesday
0.67%
49.1%
409
Thursday
0.25%
50.9%
401
Friday
0.44%
50.8%
400
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 95.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 2.6%
Founder-led management: Philip Astley-Sparke (Executive Chairman)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Replimune Group Inc
(REPL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.