Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates RENT Bearish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 37, actionability 38. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 37 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 37 |
| Actionability | 38 (in range) |
Rent the Runway, Inc. operates shared designer closet in the United States. The company provides evening wear and accessories, ready-to-wear, workwear, denim, casual, maternity, outerwear, blouses, knitwear, loungewear, jewelry, handbags, activewear, and ski wear under subscription, rental, and resale offering. It also engages in software development and support activities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $3.65 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $123M |
| Float | 24.2M |
| Shares Outstanding | 33.6M |
| P/E (TTM) | 0.48 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 0.35 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +995.9% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 8.51% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -21.14% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $350M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $40.00 (1 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $158M | -$171M | -$23.5M | -$52.2M |
| 2022 | $203M | -$212M | $8.9M | -$67.2M |
| 2023 | $296M | -$139M | $55.1M | -$4.7M |
| 2024 | $298M | -$113M | $60.8M | $25.7M |
| 2025 | $306M | -$69.9M | $67.7M | $76.8M |
| 2026 | $330M | $22.6M | $196M | $22.3M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $80.9M | -$26.4M |
| Oct 2025 | $87.6M | $76.5M |
| Jan 2026 | $91.7M | -$1.4M |
| Apr 2026 | $89.9M | -$18.9M |
| Insider Ownership | 74.0% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 22.8% |
| Short Float | 5.7% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 0.60% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 53 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $3.45 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $5.11 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $5.06 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $17.81 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $4.96 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $5.08 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $10.95 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3.90 | resistance | 1.01x | 1 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -0.41% | -0.96% | 42.11% | 36.20% | -31.03% |
| 1 Day | 5.69% | -4.60% | 26.32% | 161.89% | -38.74% |
| 1 Week | -1.31% | -9.07% | 21.05% | 128.68% | -45.84% |
| 2 Weeks | -7.21% | -18.10% | 26.32% | 100.00% | -51.72% |
| 1 Month | 1.29% | -26.63% | 22.22% | 188.24% | -60.24% |
Next earnings: September 10, 2026 (15 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | -0.38% | 41.6% | 226 |
| Tuesday | -0.29% | 45.2% | 250 |
| Wednesday | -0.06% | 45.6% | 248 |
| Thursday | 0.86% | 41.3% | 242 |
| Friday | -0.59% | 41.6% | 243 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 22.8%
Total insider ownership: 74.0%
Founder-led management: Jennifer Hyman (Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director)
| Total Filings | 6 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$51,398.79 |
| Net Shares Change | 89,621 |
| % of Float | 0.4% |
| C-Suite Filings | 5 |
| Clusters Detected | 1 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fonseca Dhiren R. | -$103,220.098 | 1 | N/A | |
| Hyman Jennifer | Chair, CEO & President | -$29,965.92 | 1 | N/A |
| Thacker Siddharth | Chief Financial Officer | -$9,525.72 | 1 | N/A |
| Tam Sarah K | Chief Merchant Officer | -$4,220.07 | 1 | N/A |
| Schembri Cara | Chief Legal & Admin. Officer | -$3,897.33 | 1 | N/A |
| Rau Andrew | Chief Supply Chain Officer | -$3,789.75 | 1 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 – 2025-09-17 | 5 | 5 | -$51,398.79 | 5 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Fonseca Dhiren R. | -$103,220.098 | Transaction at $2.99, now +22.1% | |
| 2025-09-17 | Hyman Jennifer | Chair, CEO & President | -$29,965.92 | Transaction at $4.89, now -25.4% |
| 2025-09-17 | Thacker Siddharth | Chief Financial Officer | -$9,525.72 | Transaction at $4.89, now -25.4% |
| 2025-09-17 | Tam Sarah K | Chief Merchant Officer | -$4,220.07 | Transaction at $4.89, now -25.4% |
| 2025-09-17 | Schembri Cara | Chief Legal & Admin. Officer | -$3,897.33 | Transaction at $4.89, now -25.4% |
| 2025-09-17 | Rau Andrew | Chief Supply Chain Officer | -$3,789.75 | Transaction at $4.89, now -25.4% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rent the Runway Inc (RENT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for RENT on Trend Edge →