RCUS — Arcus Biosciences Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RCUS Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 39, actionability 40. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability40 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arcus Biosciences Inc

Arcus Biosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes cancer therapies in the United States. The company's development product portfolio includes Casdatifan, a HIF-2a inhibitor for the treatment of kidney cancer; Domvanalimab, an anti-TIGIT antibody, which is in Phase 2 and Phase 3 clinical trial for lung and gastrointestinal cancers; and Zimberelimab, an anti-PD-1 antibody. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$28.92
Market Cap$3.77B
Float88.9M
Shares Outstanding125.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)15.97
vs. Analyst Target+23.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-156.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)-788.24%
Revenue (TTM)$236M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.75 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $78.0M -$123M $78.0M -$120M
2021 $383M $53.0M $383M $59.0M
2022 $112M -$267M $112M -$258M
2023 $117M -$307M $117M -$291M
2024 $258M -$283M $258M -$269M
2025 $247M -$353M $237M -$335M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $160M -$8.0M
Sep 2025 $26.0M -$135M
Dec 2025 $33.0M -$98.0M
Mar 2026 $17.0M -$128M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership29.2%
Institutional Ownership72.4%
Short Float14.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.34%
Number of Funds Holding192

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$24.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.40 support 1.19x 0 months ago
$20.00 support 1.45x 7 months ago
$13.50 support 1.60x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.49% 55.88% 11.14% -8.37%
1 Day 1.58% -0.34% 47.06% 19.87% -10.56%
1 Week 2.21% -0.20% 50.00% 20.56% -14.00%
2 Weeks 2.21% -1.49% 50.00% 39.52% -45.37%
1 Month 5.61% 4.08% 69.70% 40.34% -24.97%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-6.2%25.0%8
Feb12.9%62.5%8
Mar-7.7%37.5%8
Apr8.0%44.4%9
May-2.5%44.4%9
Jun0.7%44.4%9
Jul1.5%50.0%8
Aug6.2%62.5%8
Sep2.4%50.0%8
Oct1.4%37.5%8
Nov17.8%87.5%8
Dec-2.8%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 48.1% 393
Tuesday -0.02% 48.1% 430
Wednesday 0.14% 49.5% 426
Thursday 0.41% 47.7% 419
Friday 0.22% 48.6% 418

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 29.2%

Founder-led management: Terry Rosen (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO), Juan Jaen (Co-Founder & President)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings23
Net Value-$12.2M
Net Shares Change-471,326
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings23
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jaen Juan C. President -$4.9M 3 N/A
Goeltz II Robert C. Chief Financial Officer -$630,890.186 3 N/A
Tang Carolyn C. General Counsel -$318,495.658 1 N/A
Azoy Alexander Chief Accounting Officer -$261,457.378 2 N/A
Markus Richard Chief Medical Officer -$210,144.689 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-29 – 2025-11-12 4 3 -$3.1M 4 C-suite
2025-11-19 – 2025-12-01 3 3 -$1.2M 3 C-suite
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-18 8 7 -$5.2M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-01 Azoy Alexander Chief Accounting Officer -$66,023.765 Transaction at $25.77, now +12.2%
2026-05-12 Goeltz II Robert C. Chief Financial Officer -$198,965.69 Transaction at $25.63, now +12.8%
2026-06-24 Jaen Juan C. President -$877,500.087 Transaction at $27.92, now +3.6%
2025-12-18 Tang Carolyn C. General Counsel -$318,495.658 Transaction at $22.01, now +31.4%
2025-12-18 Markus Richard Chief Medical Officer -$210,144.689 Transaction at $22.01, now +31.4%
2025-12-18 Goeltz II Robert C. Chief Financial Officer -$278,738.736 Transaction at $22.01, now +31.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arcus Biosciences Inc (RCUS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RCUS on Trend Edge →