QSR — Restaurant Brands International Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates QSR Bullish with a Setup Score of 61, net conviction 44, actionability 85. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score61
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction44
Actionability85 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Restaurant Brands International Inc

Restaurant Brands International Inc. operates as a quick service restaurant company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Firehouse Subs, International, and Restaurant Holdings. The company owns and franchises Tim Hortons, a coffee and baked good restaurant chain that offers beverages, sandwiches, wraps, flatbread pizzas, and others; Burger King, a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$70.95
Market Cap$32.37B
Float317.6M
Shares Outstanding348.8M
P/E (Forward)11.74
P/E (TTM)17.75
Price/Sales (TTM)3.34
vs. Analyst Target+21.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)27.74%
Revenue (TTM)$9.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)151.20%
Dividend Rate2.6%
Analyst Target Price$85.88 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.97B $486M $1.97B $1.50B
2021 $5.74B $838M $2.37B $2.04B
2022 $6.50B $1.01B $2.60B $2.07B
2023 $7.02B $1.19B $2.80B $2.24B
2024 $8.41B $1.02B $3.02B $2.66B
2025 $9.43B $776M $3.88B $2.42B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.45B $315M
Dec 2025 $2.47B $113M
Mar 2026 $2.26B $338M
Jun 2026 $2.52B $507M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership97.2%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding6.55%
Number of Funds Holding576

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$75.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$74.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$70.62Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$70.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$73.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$70.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$70.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$78.00 resistance 1.10x 0 months ago
$80.00 resistance 1.12x 4 months ago
$67.00 support 1.02x 7 months ago
$66.00 support 1.02x 10 months ago
$61.00 support 1.28x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.11% 53.19% 2.07% -2.54%
1 Day -0.05% -0.35% 44.68% 4.51% -3.62%
1 Week -0.35% 0.02% 51.06% 8.84% -9.43%
2 Weeks 0.04% 0.03% 51.06% 13.10% -10.83%
1 Month 0.06% 0.02% 50.00% 19.60% -30.45%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.0%25.0%12
Feb3.1%66.7%12
Mar-0.6%75.0%12
Apr3.9%66.7%12
May1.0%58.3%12
Jun-0.5%50.0%12
Jul3.8%75.0%12
Aug-1.4%41.7%12
Sep-2.5%41.7%12
Oct-0.8%45.5%11
Nov3.5%72.7%11
Dec-0.2%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 47.1% 556
Tuesday 0.02% 45.3% 612
Wednesday 0.09% 52.5% 609
Thursday 0.09% 54.6% 597
Friday 0.05% 51.4% 595

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings39
Net Value-$30.6M
Net Shares Change95,830
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings38
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CURTIS THOMAS BENJAMIN Pres., BK US & CA -$6.2M 2 2 sell
DOYLE J PATRICK Executive Chairman -$3.0M 1 1 sell
Schwan Axel Pres., Tim Hortons US & Canada -$2.8M 2 2 sell
Friesner Jacqueline SVP, Controller and Principal Accounting Officer -$2.2M 1 1 sell
Siddiqui Sami A. Chief Financial Officer -$866,019.239 1 1 sell
Fulton Duncan Chief Corporate Officer -$695,888.861 1 1 sell
SANTELMO THIAGO T President, International -$383,882.734 1 1 sell
PERDUE PETER President, Popeyes-US & Canada -$262,082.779 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-17 – 2025-12-17 10 10 -$4.9M 10 C-suite
2026-01-08 – 2026-01-08 10 10 -$1.0M 10 C-suite
2026-02-24 – 2026-02-24 9 9 -$7.2M 9 C-suite
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-20 6 6 -$8.9M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-25 CURTIS THOMAS BENJAMIN Pres., BK US & CA -$5.2M Transaction at $80.72, now -12.1%
2026-09-09 Schwan Axel Pres., Tim Hortons US & Canada -$391,614.567 Transaction at $71.14, now -0.3%
2026-03-18 Friesner Jacqueline SVP, Controller and Principal Accounting Officer -$2.2M Transaction at $74.61, now -4.9%
2026-02-24 Schwan Axel Pres., Tim Hortons Americas -$2.4M Transaction at $67.51, now +5.1%
2026-02-24 CURTIS THOMAS BENJAMIN Pres., BK US & CA -$1.0M Transaction at $67.51, now +5.1%
2025-11-25 DOYLE J PATRICK Executive Chairman -$3.0M Transaction at $69.80, now +1.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Restaurant Brands International Inc (QSR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for QSR on Trend Edge →