PTON — Peloton Interactive Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Peloton Interactive Inc

Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides fitness and wellness products and services in North America and internationally. The company offers connected fitness products, such as the Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Peloton Tread, Peloton Tread+, and Peloton Row. It also provides all-access, rental, and Peloton App memberships. In addition, the company leases Peloton Bike+ products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.77
Market Cap$2.24B
Float407.1M
Shares Outstanding417.2M
P/E (Forward)17.24
P/E (TTM)86.17
Price/Sales (TTM)0.92
vs. Analyst Target+39.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.51%
Revenue (TTM)$2.45B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.03 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.83B -$71.6M $838M -$26.2M
2021 $4.02B -$189M $1.45B -$120M
2022 $3.58B -$2.83B $698M -$2.62B
2023 $2.80B -$1.26B $927M -$649M
2024 $2.70B -$552M $1.21B -$330M
2025 $2.49B -$119M $1.27B $109M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $607M $21.6M
Sep 2025 $551M $13.9M
Dec 2025 $657M -$38.7M
Mar 2026 $631M $26.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership89.0%
Short Float13.4%
% of All Funds Holding4.95%
Number of Funds Holding407

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.17Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.97Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.19Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.56Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.10 resistance 1.05x 6 months ago
$3.60 support 1.62x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (27 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.84% 59.26% 20.14% -33.62%
1 Day -0.57% 0.53% 55.56% 16.01% -35.35%
1 Week 1.49% 2.42% 55.56% 34.50% -42.81%
2 Weeks 0.49% 0.88% 59.26% 27.97% -45.22%
1 Month 0.52% 5.27% 53.85% 52.90% -46.65%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.22% 52.7% 313
Tuesday 0.19% 48.0% 346
Wednesday 0.09% 46.8% 342
Thursday -0.35% 44.5% 335
Friday 0.09% 47.9% 336

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings61
Net Value-$30.6M
Net Shares Change815,029
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings60
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Stern Peter C President and CEO -$881,110.072 2 2 sell
Cotter Jennifer Cunningham Chief Content Officer -$519,965.813 1 1 sell
Caldwell Nick V. Chief Product Officer -$374,654.145 2 2 sell
Sanders Dion C. Chief Commercial Officer -$365,039.506 1 1 sell
Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$271,636.001 3 3 sell
Baig Saqib Interim CFO, CAO -$153,353.18 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-11 – 2025-08-22 9 5 -$6.9M 9 C-suite
2025-09-16 – 2025-09-22 7 5 -$8.6M 7 C-suite
2025-11-14 – 2025-11-21 11 8 -$6.6M 10 C-suite
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-16 3 3 -$571,042.77 3 C-suite
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-13 3 3 -$1.6M 3 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-24 9 7 -$3.7M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-19 Baig Saqib Interim CFO, CAO -$153,353.18 Transaction at $5.27, now +9.4%
2026-04-17 Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$99,436.023 Transaction at $5.02, now +14.9%
2026-03-17 Caldwell Nick V. Chief Product Officer -$164,768.417 Transaction at $3.86, now +49.3%
2026-02-18 Sanders Dion C. Chief Commercial Officer -$365,039.506 Transaction at $4.14, now +39.5%
2026-02-18 Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$26,549.626 Transaction at $4.14, now +39.5%
2026-02-18 Cotter Jennifer Cunningham Chief Content Officer -$519,965.813 Transaction at $4.15, now +39.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PTON on Trend Edge →