PTON — Peloton Interactive Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PTON Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 34, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction34
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Peloton Interactive Inc

Peloton Interactive, Inc. provides fitness and wellness products and services in North America and internationally. It offers connected fitness products, such as the Original Bike and Original Bike+; Cross Training Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row+; Peloton Bike+ Pro, Tread+ Pro, and Row+ Pro; and Precor Cardio, Precor Strength, Connected Fitness Solutions, and Wellness Solutions. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.12
Market Cap$2.16B
Float418.4M
Shares Outstanding423.0M
P/E (Forward)4.28
P/E (TTM)35.14
Price/Sales (TTM)0.88
vs. Analyst Target+54.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.43%
Revenue (TTM)$2.45B
Earnings Growth (YoY)160.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.90 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4.02B -$189M $1.45B -$120M
2022 $3.58B -$2.83B $698M -$2.62B
2023 $2.80B -$1.26B $927M -$649M
2024 $2.70B -$552M $1.21B -$330M
2025 $2.49B -$119M $1.27B $109M
2026 $2.45B $63.2M $1.29B $236M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $551M $13.9M
Dec 2025 $657M -$38.7M
Mar 2026 $631M $26.4M
Jun 2026 $608M $61.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership95.9%
Short Float14.5%
% of All Funds Holding5.25%
Number of Funds Holding462

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.35Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.10 resistance 1.05x 11 months ago
$3.60 support 1.62x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (28 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.83% 60.71% 20.14% -33.62%
1 Day -0.44% 0.54% 57.14% 16.01% -35.35%
1 Week 1.52% 2.34% 57.14% 34.50% -42.81%
2 Weeks 0.41% 0.81% 57.14% 27.97% -45.22%
1 Month 0.45% 4.51% 51.85% 52.90% -46.65%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%28.6%7
Feb-11.2%14.3%7
Mar-6.2%14.3%7
Apr-5.8%42.9%7
May6.4%71.4%7
Jun0.5%42.9%7
Jul8.5%85.7%7
Aug-1.2%57.1%7
Sep-3.5%42.9%7
Oct12.7%57.1%7
Nov10.1%71.4%7
Dec-7.9%28.6%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.22% 52.6% 331
Tuesday 0.18% 48.5% 365
Wednesday 0.08% 46.5% 361
Thursday -0.36% 44.6% 354
Friday 0.09% 48.7% 353

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings46
Net Value-$14.8M
Net Shares Change299,061
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings44
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cotter Jennifer Cunningham Chief Content Officer -$1.6M 2 2 sell
Stern Peter C President and CEO -$979,571.823 2 2 sell
Sanders Dion C. Chief Commercial Officer -$365,039.506 1 1 sell
Baig Saqib Chief Accounting Officer -$348,790.113 2 2 sell
Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$271,636.001 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-14 – 2025-11-21 11 8 -$6.6M 10 C-suite
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-16 3 3 -$571,042.77 3 C-suite
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-13 3 3 -$1.6M 3 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-24 9 7 -$3.7M 9 C-suite
2026-08-18 – 2026-08-21 4 3 -$969,308.832 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Baig Saqib Chief Accounting Officer -$195,436.933 Transaction at $5.36, now -4.5%
2026-05-19 Baig Saqib Interim CFO, CAO -$153,353.18 Transaction at $5.27, now -2.9%
2026-04-17 Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$99,436.023 Transaction at $5.02, now +2.0%
2025-11-18 Cotter Jennifer Cunningham Chief Content Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $7.22, now -29.1%
2026-02-18 Sanders Dion C. Chief Commercial Officer -$365,039.506 Transaction at $4.14, now +23.8%
2026-02-18 Kirol Charles Peter Chief Operating Officer -$26,549.626 Transaction at $4.14, now +23.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PTON on Trend Edge →