JAKK — JAKKS Pacific Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About JAKKS Pacific Inc

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. designs, produces, markets, sells, and distributes toys and related products, consumer and electronic products, kids indoor and outdoor furniture, costumes, and sporting goods and home furnishings space products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. The company offers action figures and accessories, such as licensed characters; toy vehicles; dolls and accessories, including … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.32
Market Cap$247M
Float9.1M
Shares Outstanding11.4M
P/E (Forward)13.32
P/E (TTM)30.79
Price/Sales (TTM)0.44
vs. Analyst Target+33.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue (TTM)$564M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-62.50%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$28.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $516M -$14.3M $150M $19.1M
2021 $621M -$6.0M $183M $18.7M
2022 $796M $91.4M $211M $71.8M
2023 $712M $38.4M $223M $60.0M
2024 $691M $33.9M $213M $50.9M
2025 $571M $9.9M $185M $25.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $119M -$2.3M
Sep 2025 $211M $19.9M
Dec 2025 $107M -$4.3M
Mar 2026 $107M -$4.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.8%
Institutional Ownership63.6%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.20%
Number of Funds Holding99

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.93Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.30 support 1.27x 2 months ago
$24.50 resistance 1.47x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.17% 0.00% 49.14% 40.52% -23.34%
1 Day -1.24% -0.72% 43.10% 34.82% -39.02%
1 Week -1.24% -0.77% 44.83% 56.62% -46.78%
2 Weeks -2.58% -1.52% 43.97% 60.96% -48.17%
1 Month -0.46% -0.69% 49.57% 73.86% -63.54%

Next earnings: April 30, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.1%43.3%30
Feb3.7%63.3%30
Mar-3.7%46.7%30
Apr8.0%63.3%30
May-2.5%41.4%29
Jun5.4%56.7%30
Jul-2.7%43.3%30
Aug0.3%46.7%30
Sep-0.5%46.7%30
Oct2.1%43.3%30
Nov4.0%56.7%30
Dec-3.3%40.0%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 47.0% 1421
Tuesday 0.02% 46.6% 1551
Wednesday 0.07% 47.0% 1549
Thursday 0.12% 46.6% 1518
Friday 0.09% 46.2% 1514

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 63.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.8%

Founder-led management: Stephen Berman (Co-Founder, Chairman, CEO, President & Secretary)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for JAKKS Pacific Inc (JAKK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JAKK on Trend Edge →