PRAA — PRA Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About PRA Group Inc

PRA Group, Inc., a financial services company, engages in the purchase, collection, and management of nonperforming loan portfolios in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, South America, Canada, and Australia. The company purchases loans from credit originators who have chosen not to pursue, or have been unsuccessful in collecting, the full balance owed. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.04
Market Cap$558M
Float33.4M
Shares Outstanding38.1M
P/E (Forward)11.57
Price/Sales (TTM)0.45
vs. Analyst Target+72.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-22.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)32.83%
Revenue (TTM)$1.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)711.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$26.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.07B $149M $629M $226M
2021 $1.10B $183M $670M $266M
2022 $967M $117M $550M $170M
2023 $815M -$83.5M $416M $10.5M
2024 $1.12B $70.6M $686M $209M
2025 $1.24B -$305M $1.23B $19.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $291M $42.4M
Sep 2025 $314M -$408M
Dec 2025 $363M $56.5M
Mar 2026 $314M $28.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership101.2%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.23%
Number of Funds Holding183

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.30Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$16.30Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$21.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$22.00 resistance 1.25x 0 months ago
$12.80 support 1.51x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (95 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.01% 0.55% 54.74% 22.94% -24.74%
1 Day 1.05% 0.96% 53.68% 32.12% -30.36%
1 Week 0.40% 2.10% 57.89% 43.25% -45.59%
2 Weeks 0.51% 1.19% 51.58% 32.04% -40.94%
1 Month 1.71% 0.86% 51.06% 43.16% -32.95%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.9%45.8%24
Feb4.1%70.8%24
Mar1.0%62.5%24
Apr4.7%58.3%24
May-1.2%52.2%23
Jun3.4%60.9%23
Jul3.1%65.2%23
Aug-1.2%39.1%23
Sep-0.3%47.8%23
Oct-3.4%52.2%23
Nov4.0%43.5%23
Dec3.1%45.8%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.2% 1110
Tuesday 0.09% 51.2% 1217
Wednesday -0.01% 49.3% 1215
Thursday 0.11% 49.1% 1191
Friday 0.07% 49.6% 1187

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

Founder-led management: Steve Fredrickson (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change15,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Olsen Geir +$212,250 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-10 Olsen Geir +$212,250 Transaction at $14.15, now +6.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PRA Group Inc (PRAA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PRAA on Trend Edge →