PEPG — PepGen Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About PepGen Ltd

PepGen Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops oligonucleotide therapeutics for the treatment of severe neuromuscular and neurologic diseases in the United States. The company engages in the development of PGN-EDODM1, an EDO peptide-conjugated PMO, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy type 1; and FREEDOM2-DM1, which is in Phase 2 for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy type 1. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.50
Market Cap$107M
Float37.0M
Shares Outstanding69.2M
vs. Analyst Target+576.2% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.14 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$1.9M -$110,000 -$1.8M
2021 N/A -$27.3M -$178,000 -$26.9M
2022 N/A -$69.1M -$493,000 -$67.8M
2023 N/A -$78.6M -$1.2M -$83.6M
2024 N/A -$90.0M -$1.5M -$89.1M
2025 N/A -$89.7M -$1.4M -$92.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$23.1M
Sep 2025 N/A -$18.0M
Dec 2025 N/A -$18.3M
Mar 2026 N/A -$17.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership90.1%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.00%
Number of Funds Holding82

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.92Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.90 resistance 1.37x 1 months ago
$1.20 support 4.70x 7 months ago
$15.80 resistance 1.60x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (17 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.27% -0.84% 35.29% 18.48% -18.49%
1 Day -4.89% -4.34% 35.29% 6.56% -25.33%
1 Week -2.62% -0.44% 41.18% 25.60% -27.55%
2 Weeks -0.15% 0.00% 47.06% 25.54% -31.81%
1 Month -4.23% -2.76% 50.00% 56.70% -75.30%

Next earnings: July 31, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.29% 47.9% 188
Tuesday -0.19% 44.1% 211
Wednesday 0.42% 47.1% 208
Thursday 1.01% 50.0% 202
Friday -0.77% 44.2% 206

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$48,919.238
Net Shares Change9,572,904
% of Float25.9%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$30.0M 1 1 buy
Oxford Science Enterprises plc +$640,000 1 1 buy
McArthur James G President and CEO -$32,875.91 1 N/A
Donnelly Noel Chief Financial Officer -$12,988.322 1 N/A
Kasraian Kasra Chief Technical Officer -$1,739.393 1 N/A
STRECK PAUL EVP, Head of RandD -$1,315.613 2 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-06 – 2026-03-06 3 3 -$57,573.22 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-02 STRECK PAUL EVP, Head of RandD +$10,393.375 Transaction at $1.24, now +20.9%
2025-09-30 RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$30.0M Transaction at $3.20, now -53.1%
2025-10-01 Oxford Science Enterprises plc +$640,000 Transaction at $3.20, now -53.1%
2026-05-26 Kasraian Kasra Chief Technical Officer -$1,739.393 Transaction at $1.41, now +6.3%
2026-03-06 STRECK PAUL EVP, Head of RandD -$11,708.989 Transaction at $6.23, now -75.9%
2026-03-06 McArthur James G President and CEO -$32,875.91 Transaction at $6.23, now -75.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PepGen Ltd (PEPG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PEPG on Trend Edge →