PCVX — Vaxcyte Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Vaxcyte Inc

Vaxcyte, Inc., a clinical-stage vaccine innovation company, develops conjugate and novel protein vaccines to prevent or treat bacterial infectious diseases. Its lead vaccine candidate is VAX-24, a 24-valent carrier-sparing investigational pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants. The company also develops VAX-31, a 31-valent, carrier-sparing investigational PCV for the prevention of… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$51.02
Market Cap$6.81B
Float132.0M
Shares Outstanding144.4M
vs. Analyst Target+113.6% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$109.00 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$89.2M -$1.4M -$87.8M
2021 N/A -$100M -$1.8M -$96.6M
2022 N/A -$223M -$9.2M -$214M
2023 N/A -$402M -$75.0M -$392M
2024 N/A -$464M -$15.8M -$448M
2025 N/A -$767M N/A -$742M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$167M
Sep 2025 N/A -$213M
Dec 2025 N/A -$247M
Mar 2026 N/A -$321M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership114.6%
Short Float10.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.78%
Number of Funds Holding311

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$55.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$48.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$52.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$55.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$48.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$55.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$58.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$57.00 resistance 1.03x 0 months ago
$36.30 support 1.06x 6 months ago
$30.90 support 1.14x 7 months ago
$73.00 resistance 1.57x 13 months ago
$94.00 resistance 1.15x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (25 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.29% -0.53% 32.00% 6.53% -16.41%
1 Day 0.49% 0.47% 56.00% 15.36% -17.91%
1 Week 1.23% -1.93% 40.00% 34.34% -20.49%
2 Weeks 0.55% 1.89% 52.00% 22.49% -20.08%
1 Month 2.19% 0.52% 50.00% 55.93% -18.30%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.50% 54.5% 279
Tuesday -0.13% 47.1% 310
Wednesday 0.17% 49.8% 307
Thursday -0.01% 48.2% 299
Friday 0.14% 50.5% 299

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 114.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

Founder-led management: Grant Pickering (Chief Executive Officer), Jeff Fairman (Vice President of Research)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$2.1M
Net Shares Change-37,623
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cowan Elvia SVP, FINANCE -$875,403.939 4 1 sell
Wassil Jim CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$752,622.36 3 N/A
Dhaliwal Harpreet S. Chief Technical Ops Officer -$454,890.927 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-02 Dhaliwal Harpreet S. Chief Technical Ops Officer -$454,890.927 Transaction at $46.69, now +9.3%
2025-12-29 Cowan Elvia SVP, FINANCE -$556,971.835 Transaction at $47.92, now +6.5%
2026-03-18 Cowan Elvia SVP, Finance and CAO -$105,146.954 Transaction at $55.57, now -8.2%
2026-03-11 Wassil Jim CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$493,276.785 Transaction at $59.10, now -13.7%
2026-05-01 Wassil Jim CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER -$127,869.75 Transaction at $56.83, now -10.2%
2026-04-08 Cowan Elvia SVP, Finance and CAO -$102,240 Transaction at $42.96, now +18.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vaxcyte Inc (PCVX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PCVX on Trend Edge →