PBYI — Puma Biotechnology Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Puma Biotechnology Inc

Puma Biotechnology, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of products to enhance cancer care in the United States and internationally. It offers NERLYNX, an oral version of neratinib that is used to treat adult patients with early stage HER2-overexpressed/amplified breast cancer; and advanced or metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer when combined with capecitabine. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.49
Market Cap$369M
Float39.1M
Shares Outstanding50.9M
P/E (Forward)3.46
P/E (TTM)11.90
Price/Sales (TTM)1.62
vs. Analyst Target-33.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.67%
Revenue (TTM)$228M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-34.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $225M -$60.0M $186M -$35.7M
2021 $253M -$29.1M $189M -$4.7M
2022 $228M $2,000 $173M $21.9M
2023 $236M $21.6M $173M $47.5M
2024 $230M $30.3M $166M $48.1M
2025 $228M $31.1M $170M $53.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $46.0M $3.0M
Jun 2025 $52.4M $5.9M
Sep 2025 $54.5M $8.8M
Dec 2025 $75.5M $13.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.4%
Institutional Ownership73.8%
Short Float10.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.77%
Number of Funds Holding137

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.97Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.10 support 1.92x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (57 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.33% 0.06% 50.88% 32.51% -37.82%
1 Day -0.69% -0.27% 45.61% 39.99% -48.01%
1 Week 1.83% 1.51% 52.63% 74.16% -44.74%
2 Weeks 7.23% 1.92% 55.36% 154.65% -48.53%
1 Month 6.74% 3.08% 51.79% 154.16% -55.06%

Next earnings: May 14, 2026 (3 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.8%64.3%14
Feb5.5%50.0%14
Mar0.2%50.0%14
Apr-3.9%42.9%14
May4.7%64.3%14
Jun-2.5%50.0%14
Jul18.8%57.1%14
Aug5.0%57.1%14
Sep-0.5%57.1%14
Oct-8.6%35.7%14
Nov13.5%50.0%14
Dec2.3%28.6%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 49.4% 662
Tuesday 0.11% 47.4% 724
Wednesday 0.45% 48.8% 722
Thursday -0.06% 44.6% 709
Friday 0.12% 47.4% 709

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 73.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.4%

Founder-led management: Alan Auerbach (Founder, Chairman, President, CEO & Secretary)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$549,733.598
Net Shares Change-258,053
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cesano Alessandra -$132,219 2 N/A
MILLER MICHAEL PATRICK -$97,228 1 1 sell
Senderowicz Adrian -$91,800 1 N/A
MOYES JAY M -$74,800 1 N/A
NOUGUES MAXIMO F Chief Financial Officer -$64,186.952 1 N/A
HUNT DOUGLAS M The Reporting Person is the Senior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs of the Issuer. -$52,695.275 1 N/A
Dorval Allison -$39,474 1 N/A
WILSON TROY EDWARD -$36,720 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-17 – 2025-06-17 6 6 -$311,563
2025-07-10 – 2025-07-22 4 4 -$318,883.471 3 C-suite
2026-01-08 – 2026-01-08 3 3 -$321,759.127 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-13 MILLER MICHAEL PATRICK -$97,228 Transaction at $4.86, now +54.1%
2026-01-08 NOUGUES MAXIMO F Chief Financial Officer -$64,186.952 Transaction at $5.86, now +27.7%
2026-01-08 HUNT DOUGLAS M The Reporting Person is the Senior Vice President of Regulatory Affairs of the Issuer. -$52,695.275 Transaction at $5.86, now +27.7%
2025-07-22 Cesano Alessandra -$90,909 Transaction at $3.37, now +122.5%
2025-06-17 WILSON TROY EDWARD -$36,720 Transaction at $3.40, now +120.3%
2025-06-17 Senderowicz Adrian -$91,800 Transaction at $3.40, now +120.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Puma Biotechnology Inc (PBYI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PBYI on Trend Edge →