OPFI — OppFi Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OPFI Bullish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 35, actionability 78. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability78 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About OppFi Inc

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.44
Market Cap$1.33B
Float33.8M
Shares Outstanding85.4M
P/E (Forward)5.05
P/E (TTM)4.47
Price/Sales (TTM)3.92
vs. Analyst Target+48.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)44.88%
Revenue (TTM)$340M
Earnings Growth (YoY)266.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $291M $77.5M $247M $104M
2021 $351M $25.6M $261M $101M
2022 $453M $7.1M $358M $245M
2023 $509M -$1.0M $402M $291M
2024 $526M $7.3M $421M $309M
2025 $597M $26.3M $568M $201M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $142M -$20.8M
Sep 2025 $155M $41.6M
Dec 2025 $159M $16.8M
Mar 2026 $152M $28.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership60.5%
Institutional Ownership23.5%
Short Float6.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.65%
Number of Funds Holding136

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.02Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.13Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.40 support 1.35x 0 months ago
$5.20 support 1.86x 19 months ago
$3.90 support 1.03x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.35% 0.10% 54.55% 14.45% -22.16%
1 Day -0.97% -1.33% 45.45% 13.27% -23.48%
1 Week -4.27% -4.97% 36.36% 31.56% -33.51%
2 Weeks -3.12% -3.23% 40.91% 33.92% -34.93%
1 Month 3.15% 1.69% 54.55% 72.25% -38.78%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.4% 263
Tuesday 0.36% 48.3% 292
Wednesday -0.02% 39.7% 290
Thursday -0.15% 45.4% 282
Friday 0.23% 49.5% 281

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 23.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 60.5%

Founder-led management: Todd Schwartz (Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings27
Net Value-$642,183.066
Net Shares Change-33,248,926
% of Float-98.5%
C-Suite Filings16
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Moore Jocelyn -$511,321.878 2 2 sell
Favilla Christina M -$244,176 1 1 sell
McKay Christopher J. Chief Risk & Analytics Officer -$197,814.626 2 2 sell
Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +N/A 3 3 sell
Vennettilli David +N/A 1 1 sell
SCHWARTZ THEODORE G +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-06 – 2025-08-15 6 4 -$2.8M 4 C-suite
2026-04-22 – 2026-05-06 6 4 -$100,000 3 C-suite
2026-06-10 – 2026-06-17 3 3 -$766,927.104 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-17 Moore Jocelyn -$324,936.478 Transaction at $8.32, now +13.5%
2026-04-30 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +N/A N/A
2026-04-30 McKay Christopher J. Chief Risk & Analytics Officer +N/A N/A
2026-06-16 McKay Christopher J. Chief Risk & Analytics Officer -$197,814.626 Transaction at $8.35, now +13.0%
2026-04-22 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +N/A N/A
2026-06-10 Favilla Christina M -$244,176 Transaction at $8.14, now +16.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OppFi Inc (OPFI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OPFI on Trend Edge →