OPFI — OppFi Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OPFI Bullish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 21, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score50
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction21
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About OppFi Inc

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.93
Market Cap$519M
Float33.4M
Shares Outstanding85.2M
P/E (Forward)3.08
P/E (TTM)2.85
Price/Sales (TTM)1.58
vs. Analyst Target+124.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin31.06%
Operating Margin (TTM)31.21%
Revenue (TTM)$327M
Earnings Growth (YoY)266.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.31 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $291M $77.5M $247M $104M
2021 $351M $25.6M $261M $101M
2022 $453M $7.1M $358M $245M
2023 $509M -$1.0M $402M $291M
2024 $526M $7.3M $421M $309M
2025 $597M $26.3M $568M $201M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $155M $41.6M
Dec 2025 $159M $16.8M
Mar 2026 $152M $28.4M
Jun 2026 $86.2M $14.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership60.5%
Institutional Ownership26.9%
Short Float9.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.67%
Number of Funds Holding147

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.36Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.40 resistance 1.83x 1 months ago
$5.20 support 1.86x 22 months ago
$3.90 support 1.03x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.66% 0.10% 52.17% 14.45% -22.16%
1 Day -2.01% -1.81% 43.48% 13.27% -24.86%
1 Week -4.96% -6.47% 34.78% 31.56% -33.51%
2 Weeks -3.71% -4.34% 39.13% 33.92% -34.93%
1 Month 3.15% 1.69% 54.55% 72.25% -38.78%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 45.8% 275
Tuesday 0.23% 47.2% 305
Wednesday -0.03% 39.6% 303
Thursday -0.13% 45.8% 295
Friday 0.21% 49.7% 294

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 26.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 60.5%

Founder-led management: Todd Schwartz (Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings41
Net Value+$533,091.481
Net Shares Change-32,131,159
% of Float-96.1%
C-Suite Filings32
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$269,240.192 10 10 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-22 – 2026-05-06 6 4 -$100,000 3 C-suite
2026-06-10 – 2026-06-17 3 3 -$766,927.104 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-15 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$41,405.432 Transaction at $7.90, now -25.0%
2026-09-11 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$25,313.605 Transaction at $7.56, now -21.5%
2026-09-10 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$26,190.33 Transaction at $7.59, now -21.9%
2026-09-09 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$25,736.545 Transaction at $7.41, now -19.9%
2026-09-08 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$25,741.45 Transaction at $7.35, now -19.4%
2026-09-04 Schwartz Todd G. Chief Executive Officer +$25,305.06 Transaction at $7.33, now -19.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OppFi Inc (OPFI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OPFI on Trend Edge →