OKUR — OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OKUR Bearish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 33, actionability 60. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction33
Actionability60 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.

OnKure Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of precision medicines that target biologically validated drivers of cancers and other diseases. Its lead product candidate includes OKI-219, a selective inhibitor of phosphoinositide 3-kinase alpha (PI3Ka) harboring the H1047R mutation that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of solid tumors, including breast cancer. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.28
Market Cap$180M
Float17.6M
Shares Outstanding40.4M
vs. Analyst Target+372.0% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$20.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$19.5M -$37,000 -$19.4M
2021 N/A -$39.8M -$50,000 -$39.7M
2022 N/A -$29.5M -$529,000 -$29.1M
2023 N/A -$35.3M -$560,000 -$34.8M
2024 N/A -$52.7M -$662,000 -$51.7M
2025 N/A -$59.5M -$830,000 -$58.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$15.4M
Sep 2025 N/A -$14.7M
Dec 2025 N/A -$13.5M
Mar 2026 N/A -$15.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.5%
Institutional Ownership76.2%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.51%
Number of Funds Holding42

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.17Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.52Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.66Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.71Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.82Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$21.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.70 support 3.93x 3 months ago
$2.30 support 1.15x 10 months ago
$8.70 resistance 2.44x 17 months ago
$15.40 resistance 3.64x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.59% -0.60% 47.62% 9.50% -20.97%
1 Day -0.13% -0.20% 42.86% 20.00% -9.96%
1 Week -1.92% -4.96% 28.57% 36.50% -24.78%
2 Weeks -2.10% -3.85% 38.10% 45.24% -26.12%
1 Month -0.93% -0.42% 45.00% 73.22% -77.28%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 44.9% 245
Tuesday -0.15% 46.0% 272
Wednesday 0.07% 42.6% 270
Thursday -0.11% 48.3% 263
Friday -0.18% 41.5% 265

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$5,498.95
Net Shares Change-1,556
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Leverone Jason A. Chief Financial Officer -$4,274.351 4 4 sell
Saccomano Nicholas A President and CEO -$1,224.599 4 4 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 Saccomano Nicholas A President and CEO -$378.082 Transaction at $4.40, now -2.6%
2026-06-24 Leverone Jason A. Chief Financial Officer -$1,332.079 Transaction at $4.40, now -2.6%
2026-03-24 Saccomano Nicholas A President and CEO -$357.459 Transaction at $4.16, now +3.0%
2026-03-24 Leverone Jason A. Chief Financial Officer -$1,251.107 Transaction at $4.16, now +3.0%
2025-12-23 Saccomano Nicholas A President and CEO -$258.19 Transaction at $2.97, now +44.2%
2025-12-23 Leverone Jason A. Chief Financial Officer -$896.245 Transaction at $2.97, now +44.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OKUR on Trend Edge →