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Trend Edge rates NMRA Bearish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 17, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 32 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 17 |
| Actionability | 62 (in range) |
Neumora Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing therapeutic treatments for brain diseases, neuropsychiatric disorders, and neurodegenerative diseases in the United States. The company develops navacaprant (NMRA-140), a novel once-daily oral kappa opioid receptor antagonist, which is in phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of major depressive disorder. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $1.50 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $285M |
| Float | 116.4M |
| Shares Outstanding | 187.9M |
| vs. Analyst Target | +309.5% to analyst PT |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $6.14 (8 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | N/A | -$99.3M | N/A | -$95.4M |
| 2021 | N/A | -$237M | -$1.6M | -$237M |
| 2022 | N/A | -$131M | -$2.7M | -$130M |
| 2023 | N/A | -$236M | -$668,000 | -$235M |
| 2024 | N/A | -$244M | N/A | -$243M |
| 2025 | N/A | -$237M | -$5.0M | -$233M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | N/A | -$56.8M |
| Dec 2025 | N/A | -$59.5M |
| Mar 2026 | N/A | -$53.5M |
| Jun 2026 | N/A | -$43.1M |
| Insider Ownership | 23.3% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 60.1% |
| Short Float | 6.5% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 1.30% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 114 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $1.61 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $2.06 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $1.75 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $0.00 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $2.06 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $1.79 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $0.00 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.80 | support | 1.21x | 12 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -0.18% | -0.35% | 33.33% | 4.40% | -3.13% |
| 1 Day | -1.89% | -1.85% | 33.33% | 3.77% | -5.67% |
| 1 Week | -2.64% | -1.59% | 33.33% | 12.95% | -20.58% |
| 2 Weeks | -4.75% | -1.63% | 45.45% | 11.21% | -30.47% |
| 1 Month | -3.26% | -3.89% | 45.45% | 26.42% | -39.57% |
Next earnings: November 2, 2026 (68 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | -0.82% | 45.4% | 141 |
| Tuesday | 0.39% | 45.8% | 153 |
| Wednesday | -0.49% | 48.7% | 150 |
| Thursday | 0.63% | 53.8% | 145 |
| Friday | 0.19% | 48.6% | 148 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 60.1%
Total insider ownership: 23.3%
Founder-led management: Paul L. Berns (Co-founder, Executive Chairman), Carol Suh (Co-Founder & Chief Strategy Officer)
| Total Filings | 10 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$788,990.97 |
| Net Shares Change | 5,574,990 |
| % of Float | 4.8% |
| C-Suite Filings | 7 |
| Clusters Detected | 2 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burow Kristina | +$5.0M | 1 | 1 buy | |
| ARCH Venture Partners XII, LLC | +$5.0M | 1 | 1 buy | |
| ARCH Venture Partners X, LLC | +$5.0M | 1 | 1 buy | |
| Aurora Daljit Singh | Title: Chief Operating and Development Officer | -$728,319.487 | 4 | 5 sell |
| BERNS PAUL L | Title: Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board | -$34,458.799 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Pinto Joshua | President | -$21,093.345 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Milligan Michael Lee | Title: Chief Financial Officer & Principal Accounting Officer | -$5,119.34 | 1 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 – 2025-10-29 | 3 | 3 | +$15.0M | |
| 2026-02-19 – 2026-02-19 | 4 | 4 | -$82,588.059 | 4 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Aurora Daljit Singh | Title: Chief Operating and Development Officer | -$256,179.123 | Transaction at $1.14, now +31.9% |
| 2026-08-21 | Aurora Daljit Singh | Title: Chief Operating and Development Officer | -$143,198.269 | Transaction at $1.13, now +33.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | Burow Kristina | +$5.0M | Transaction at $2.61, now -42.5% | |
| 2025-10-29 | ARCH Venture Partners XII, LLC | +$5.0M | Transaction at $2.61, now -42.5% | |
| 2025-10-29 | ARCH Venture Partners X, LLC | +$5.0M | Transaction at $2.61, now -42.5% | |
| 2026-02-19 | Aurora Daljit Singh | Title: Chief Operating and Development Officer | -$21,916.575 | Transaction at $3.56, now -57.8% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. (NMRA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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Get the full AI Consult analysis for NMRA on Trend Edge →