NERV — Minerva Neurosciences Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Minerva Neurosciences Inc

Minerva Neurosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of product candidates for the treatment of central nervous system diseases. Its lead product candidate is roluperidone, which is in Phase 3 confirmatory trial for the treatment of negative symptoms in patients with schizophrenia. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.60
Market Cap$285M
Float24.9M
Shares Outstanding46.6M
P/E (Forward)11.21
Price/Sales (TTM)1.87
vs. Analyst Target+69.6% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $41.2M $1.9M $41.2M $2.1M
2021 N/A -$49.9M -$102,000 -$45.3M
2022 N/A -$32.1M -$8,513 -$24.7M
2023 N/A -$30.0M -$30,982 -$21.7M
2024 N/A $1.4M -$22,469 $6.0M
2025 N/A -$293M -$5,442 -$15.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$3.3M
Sep 2025 N/A -$2.7M
Dec 2025 N/A -$284M
Mar 2026 N/A -$125.40B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership84.4%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.36%
Number of Funds Holding28

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.18Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.56Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.25Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 support 9.76x 6 months ago
$1.90 support 1.49x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.26% 0.00% 48.94% 17.49% -14.35%
1 Day -0.77% -0.20% 42.55% 25.35% -23.89%
1 Week -2.27% -0.70% 42.55% 42.15% -69.66%
2 Weeks -1.99% -2.87% 42.55% 36.77% -70.91%
1 Month 3.84% 1.12% 53.19% 118.39% -69.77%

Next earnings: May 12, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.2%66.7%12
Feb-6.2%25.0%12
Mar-0.6%33.3%12
Apr5.2%50.0%12
May14.7%54.5%11
Jun7.0%63.6%11
Jul-3.5%36.4%11
Aug30.5%50.0%12
Sep-0.4%33.3%12
Oct-12.3%25.0%12
Nov7.9%50.0%12
Dec-8.0%33.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 45.6% 559
Tuesday 0.16% 45.8% 614
Wednesday 0.24% 45.6% 612
Thursday 0.35% 44.9% 599
Friday -0.00% 46.2% 598

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

Founder-led management: Geoffrey Robin Race (President)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Minerva Neurosciences Inc (NERV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NERV on Trend Edge →